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Showing posts with label Islamist. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Islamist. Show all posts

09 October 2014

Washington's Secret Back-Channel Talks With Syria's Kurdish 'Terrorists' 7OKT14

THERE is much discussion about the way we (America) is being and will be played by all those involved in the war against isis/isil. We should not be so naive, so self-righteous to believe we (the American government) isn't doing the same. With our government controlled by the rich, by wall street, by the military-industrial complex we are not taking action against isis/isil because we care about the suffering of the common masses and are outraged about the bloody atrocities being committed against them. We are involved because corporate profits in some businesses are at risk and because war profiteers are are taking advantage of the death and destruction across Syria and Iraq. Consider our duplicitous relationship with Iraqi Kurds. From +Foreign Policy .....

Washington's Secret Back-Channel Talks With Syria's Kurdish 'Terrorists'

As the town of Kobani appears poised to fall to the Islamic State, exclusive, previously classified, State Department cables show how U.S. officials tried to both engage and undermine its Kurdish defenders.



Every day, the jihadists of the Islamic State (IS) advance closer to Kobani, a predominantly Kurdish town in northern Syria, close to the Turkish border. As the Islamic State rains down mortars on the town, the vastly outgunned People's Protection Units (YPG), a Kurdish militia, are attempting to resist the weeks-long assault. While Turkish troops watch from across the border and the U.S.-led air campaign continues, none of the powerful forces in the region have intervened decisively -- leaving the YPG to face the jihadist advance on its own.
The United States has rejected formal relations with the Democratic Union Party (PYD), the party that is essentially the political wing of the YPG. The PYD, which has ruled Kobani and other Kurdish enclaves inside Syria since President Bashar al-Assad's forces withdrew in July 2012, is affiliated with the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), a militant organization that has fought Turkey since 1984 -- and has consequently been listed as a terrorist organization by both Turkey and the United States. But interviews with American and Kurdish diplomats show that Washington opened indirect talks with the PYD years ago, even as it tried to empower the group's Kurdish rivals and reconcile them with the Free Syrian Army (FSA).
Though Washington has declined PYD requests for formal talks, the United States opened indirect talks with the group in 2012, former U.S. Ambassador to Syria Robert Ford told Foreign Policy. "We did meet someone who was an intermediary between the U.S. and the PYD. We met him on several occasions: myself once, and other diplomats on other occasions," Ford said. The talks happened "maybe once every six months" and were mediated by a "Syrian citizen in Europe," according to Ford.
The talks have continued since Ford's departure and are conducted through the U.S. Embassy in Paris, two Kurdish sources familiar with the meetings told Foreign Policy. "They're just briefing each other [on developments in Syria]. We're not sure if the contact is going further, to the top of the administration in the U.S.," one of the Kurdish sources said. Both Ford and the Kurds declined to identify the intermediary.
Concerns about a possible backlash from Ankara shaped Washington's approach to the talks. "We had to be very careful because of the Turkish sensitivities.
We made sure that the Turks knew that we had passed messages," Ford said. "They had two requests. One, they appreciated that we were being transparent with them. Sometimes, I think, they knew about the contact and the messages going back and forth. The second is, they had their own direct contact underway with the PYD. They asked us to go very slow on our own contacts with the PYD, because they didn't want the PYD to be able to play us off against the Turks. They said, 'If you rush in, it will diminish our leverage with the PYD.'" At roughly the same time, Washington tried to empower the Kurdish National Council (KNC), a fractious coalition of Syrian Kurdish parties backed by Iraqi Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani that has good relations with Turkey, as a counterweight to the PYD. In May 2012, a KNC delegation led by its chairman at the time, Abdul Hakim Bashar, visited Washington and met with Ford, Assistant Secretary for Near East Affairs Jeffrey Feltman, and Frederic Hof, the U.S. envoy to the Syrian opposition.
The priority for the Americans was to fold the KNC into the exiled Syrian opposition, then headed by the Syrian National Council (SNC). Ford and Hof urged the KNC to "concentrate on bridging the group's differences with the SNC and focus on the removal of [Assad] as the most urgent goal," according to a previously undisclosed State Department record of the meeting obtained by Foreign Policy through the Freedom of Information Act.
In Washington's reckoning, that required the KNC to drop its precondition that the SNC recognize Kurdish political demands, and revisit the matter only when Assad had been toppled. "The Ambassadors advised that the appropriate time would come, perhaps during the constitutional drafting process, where the Kurds could then debate the issue of political decentralization," the document says.
The United States would eventually get its wish in November 2013, when the KNC joined the Istanbul-based Syrian Opposition Coalition. But at the May 2012 meeting, the KNC had concerns of its own: The party, according to the meeting record, complained about the Syrian opposition's "intransigence and perceived domination by the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood (SMB) and Turkey." Its meetings with the SNC, said Kurdish officials, were "no different than they were with the Baathists."
Although the KNC is backed by Barzani and his Turkish allies, the party was also harshly critical of Ankara and its support for Islamists within the Arab opposition. When one KNC official, whose name is redacted in the State Department cables, described Turkey's position as "not good," the "entire delegation nodded in agreement." Turkey's vision for Syria was a centralized "Islamist government" backed by a constitution "without mention of the Kurds," according to a KNC official quoted in the document. By contrast, the KNC called for a decentralized Syrian state with guarantees for Kurdish rights.
The KNC again voiced concerns about Turkey and Islamists within the Syrian opposition during a December 2012 meeting with Ford in the Iraqi Kurdish capital of Erbil. "The extremists in the opposition were getting support from governments, such as Turkey, that wanted to ensure that the Kurds would not have special rights," the State Department cable quoted a KNC official, whose name was redacted, as saying. "[KNC officials] were distrustful of Turkish support for the FSA, which they saw as a way for Turkey to keep the Syrian-Kurdish population in check." On some points, the U.S. position was less than prescient. In December 2012, Ford pressured the KNC to join the opposition without any guarantees on Kurdish rights, because Assad "would be gone soon" and "commitments about rights would mean little if the Kurds were too isolated within a transitional government to ensure that the commitments were implemented." Ford acknowledged the presence of extremists in the FSA, but encouraged the KNC to reach out to the "moderate elements, of which there were many."
The Americans also shared some of the Kurds' concerns about Turkey's stance toward extreme Islamist factions. Speaking to Foreign Policy, Ford said he spoke with Turkish officials "many times" about the flow of jihadists into Syria through Turkish territory. "I raised it personally with the head of Turkish intelligence," Ford said, referring to Hakan Fidan, a confidant of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan who has played in a key role in Turkey's policy on Syria.
"The Turks' basic talking point was: If you share information about individuals you want, we will be helpful blocking their transit of Turkish territory," Ford said. "To me, that's kind of a cop-out answer. A lot of times we don't know the names. And so cutting access means -- and I said this to them -- doing what we do on the Mexican border: putting a lot more resources into guarding the border, blocking movement flows."
KNC officials approached the Americans with requests for assistance that would allow them to challenge the PYD as the preeminent force in Syria's Kurdish areas. In May 2012, the KNC asked Washington for megaphones, equipment for home hospitals, generators, satellite phones, and help setting up satellite TV channels. In December 2012, a KNC delegation told Ford that "KNC parties were not receiving outside support or arms, and could not compete with the PYD," according to a State Department document. When asked by Foreign Policy if the KNC ever asked for American weapons, Ford said, "Of course they did" -- but added that Washington never provided any.
The KNC's appeals for American support also came in the context of its struggle for influence with Islamist factions within the Syrian opposition. Reflecting the Kurds' weak position compared to Islamists, a "disturbed" KNC member "blurted out" to U.S. officials that Syrian Muslim Brotherhood leaders "are buying their votes and we need to do the same."
In response, the United States provided the KNC with political and media training under the Middle East Partnership Initiative, Ford said, adding that much of it took place in Turkey. "We brought in activists from Syrian Kurdish areas, and it involved things like how to organize grassroots work, how to explain viewpoints to a mass media audience, other sorts of media training. It also involved some issues related to organization building -- how to think about structures instead of everything being run by one guy," Ford told Foreign Policy. "We were trying to build a network among people that the Syrian government couldn't monitor necessarily."
If anything, the KNC's appeals for assistance underlined its own lack of influence compared to the PYD. The idea that megaphones and TV channels would weaken the PYD's grip is dubious at best. The Americans seemingly realized the KNC's relative weakness at some point in 2012, and chose to open the back channel to the PYD.
"The PYD-YPG is a Syrian group that is moving on the ground, so we had an interest in understanding their viewpoint and ideas even if we didn't see an immediate value in meeting them face to face," Ford told Foreign Policy. "The main thing is we believed there needed to be a political solution that had to be negotiated. The Kurds needed to be involved in that, even if we didn't think the PYD was fully representative of the Kurds. We wanted to understand why they continued to work with the regime and why they were hostile to Kurdish activists in the KNC. We wanted to get a sense of how this crisis and Kurdish infighting all could end."
Since IS intensified its attacks on Kurdish areas, the PYD has requested Western military support. Kurdish sources familiar with the indirect U.S.-PYD talks told Foreign Policy that Washington is currently pushing the PYD to distance itself from the Assad regime by joining the Syrian Coalition, working with the FSA, and improving ties with the KNC and Barzani. For its part, the PYD denies working with the regime, and says the Istanbul-based opposition refuses to work with them. The recent agreement between the YPG and FSA factions to fight IS together might reflect a PYD eagerness to meet preconditions for U.S. assistance.
As IS threatens a massacre in Kobani, many experts are calling on Washington to reassess its stance toward Syrian Kurds. "Imagine if last year the U.S. had channeled some support to the YPG in its fight -- it's quite possible this would have helped stop IS from its sweep across Syria into Iraq," said Aliza Marcus, author of Blood and Belief: The PKK and the Kurdish Fight for Independence. "The U.S. needs to accept that its best allies in the region are the Kurds. They are uniformly pro-Western, pro-secular, and are much more united in their fight against the radical Islamists than the Syrian opposition." 
Ford agreed that the United States should expand contacts with the PYD. "Right now, the PYD is up to its eyeballs in Islamic State alligators," he said. "I think we have a common enemy in the Islamic State." 

10 January 2014

U-M study tracks changing values in the birthplace of the Arab Spring & Beyond the ‘Arab Street’: Cutting-edge public opinion surveys in the Middle East 18DDEZ&25MAR13

THE Arab Spring started four years ago, and much of the Arab world is still in upheaval along with the civil war in Syria and political instability in Egypt. Here is a study from the University of Michigan of the public opinions on the changes that have taken place and the the desires of the people of Tunisia, where the Arab Spring started. See more at Why the next wave of Arab awakening should be waged for pluralism & Tunisia struggles to reset its democracy & Unlikely Heroes Of The Arab Spring 9JAN14&25NOV13 http://bucknacktssordidtawdryblog.blogspot.com/2014/01/why-next-wave-of-arab-awakening-should.html




Arab Spring
“Do not put garbage in our mind,” reads graffiti printed on the wall of the Roads Administration Office of Tunis City Hall at Fasqiah Warehouse, which is in charge of road maintenance and cleaning.
ANN ARBOR—Public attitudes in Tunisia, the birthplace of the Arab Spring, show strong support for secular politics and religious moderation and tolerance, according to a University of Michigan survey conducted earlier this year.
The findings help to explain the political agreement just reached between Islamists and members of secular groups to form a new Tunisian coalition government.
The survey is part of the Cross-National Analysis of Religious Fundamentalism Study, a systematic study of religious, liberal and other cultural values in seven Middle Eastern countries with Muslim majority populations: Tunisia, Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey.
“Religious tolerance is stronger in Tunisia than in the other six countries we’ve studied,” said Mansoor Moaddel, principal investigator of the study.
The results come from face-to-face interviews with a nationally representative sample of approximately 3,000 Tunisian adults.
 “But despite public support for the kinds of values that are the basis of American democracy, attitudes towards Americans, while more favorable than in other Middle Eastern countries, have much room for improvement,” said Moaddel, who is affiliated with the University of Michigan Institute for Social Research and the University of Maryland.
Among the key findings of the survey:
  • Fully 76 percent believed that the Arab Spring was for democracy and economic prosperity; only 9 percent said it was for the establishment of an Islamic government.
  • More than 60 percent said that current political leaders made them upset or angry and fully 86 percent said that government corruption was common.
  • A majority of respondents said that life in Tunisia is better now than it was before the revolution.
  • More than 60 percent said the most important obligation for Tunisians was to excel in science and technology, compared to 18 percent who identified the top priority as applying sharia law.
  • Compared to the people of other countries studied, Tunisians were much more likely to say that they would like to have Americans as neighbors. And along with Pakistani and Turkish respondents, they were much less likely than Egyptians, Iraqis, Lebanese and Saudis to support attacks on U.S. civilians working for American companies in Islamic countries. A major division in value orientations was between Tunisians, Lebanese and Turkish, who were more liberal, and Egyptians, Iraqis, Pakistanis and Saudis, who were more conservative.
The study is supported by the U.S. Office of Naval Research, Africom, MITRE, Society for the Scientific Study of Religion, Eastern Michigan University, University of Michigan and Göettingen University.

Related Link:

Contact: Diane Swanbrow, (734) 647-9069, swanbrow@umich.edu

 http://home.isr.umich.edu/releases/um-study-tracks-changing-values-in-the-birthplace-of-the-arab-spring/

Beyond the ‘Arab Street’: Cutting-edge public opinion surveys in the Middle East


The “Arab street” is a popular cliché used to describe what people are thinking in the Middle East. But it’s rarely clear how opinions are collected on this proverbial street.
One thing is obvious: There is serious need for a better understanding of the public’s views in the Arab world as the region copes with ongoing social, economic and political challenges.
The University of Michigan is making a significant contribution to meeting this need. Partnering with Qatar University, U-M has helped create an institute that is doing the most rigorous, state-of-the-art social science research in the Arab Gulf. It’s also among the very best research centers of its kind in the entire Arab region.

Morning in Souq Waqif, Qatar. Photo by Thinkstock.
“There’s no place that comes close to what we and our Qatari partners are doing,” said Mark Tessler, a U-M political science professor and one of the principal investigators in the initiative.
The surveys the institute conducts focus on governance, education, youth, social values, identity, health, gender relations, labor and many other important issues.
The center—called the Social and Economic Survey Research Institute—started five years ago when Qatar University decided to enhance its social science research capacity and began looking for partners. U-M was sought out partly because the university is home to the Institute for Social Research—the world’s largest academic social science survey and research organization. Experience in conducting public opinion surveys and training programs in the Arab world also led the Qataris to U-M.
It didn’t take the Qataris long to pick a partner.
“We gave them a plan about what we thought they needed to do, key positions to fill, organizational structures and examples of worthwhile projects,” Tessler said. “They took it to their board and came back in a few months and said they wanted to work with us.”

Mark Tessler (left) with SESRI director Darwish Al-Emadi
U-M was impressed by the Qatari vision and the prospects for making a significant contribution and readily agreed to the partnership, Tessler said.
Before the 1930s, Qatar was impoverished and known mostly for pearl trading. But the discovery of oil and gas has transformed the tiny Gulf state on the Arabian Peninsula into one of the richest countries in the world. And it’s investing heavily in education, including women’s education.

“They’re creating a knowledge economy,” said David Howell, associate director of ISR’s Center for Political Studies and also a principal investigator in the initiative. “They could sit back and just take advantage of their natural resources, but they’re reinvesting it to understand their society better and make it a better place for the people who live there. I think that’s impressive.”
Since beginning work in 2009, the institute has carried out about 30 national and regional surveys. Many focus not only on Qatari citizens but also on the country’s huge expatriate community, which makes up more than 80 percent of the population.
The studies have included an annual omnibus survey that tracks continuity and change over time in people’s views and perceptions on key issues such as education, media habits, gender relations and the status of women.
Results from the 2012 omnibus survey included:
  • 77 percent of Qataris believe it is “important” or “very important” to live in a country that is ruled democratically.
  • 70 percent of Qataris said television was their main source of news.
  • The majority of male (58 percent) and female (68 percent) respondents agreed or strongly agreed that men and women should share equal status in society.
Tessler said that such surveys are vital for good governance.
“It’s important to know what people think and value,” said Tessler, who also co-directs another multicountry survey project called the Arab Barometer and who has organized survey research training programs in six Arab countries.”We believe that policymakers and officials will be more responsive if information about what the public wants and thinks is available.”
All of the surveys are done face to face, not by telephone, by scores of well-trained and experienced interviewers, Howell said. They use laptops programmed to collect data and send it back to researchers in real time so that the information can be monitored for quality.
“One nice thing is that, unlike Americans, Qataris are not used to being surveyed all the time, so they’re not oversaturated,” Howell said.
Last November, U-M renewed its five-year partnership agreement with Qatar University. One of the next objectives is to create a policy center at the institute that will take greater advantage of the survey data—not just for academic purposes but also to assist and better inform the country’s policymakers, Tessler said.
“That’s important for planning, setting priorities and getting feedback on what seems to be working and not working,” he said.
Howell said the institute is an example of what U-M does so well around the world: capacity building—creating infrastructure that is sustainable and doesn’t depend on U-M to maintain it.
“This is something Michigan can pull out of at some point, and it would still be great,” he said. “It would move on, survive well and be high quality.”

By William Foreman (This news release was first published on the Global Michigan website.)

 http://home.isr.umich.edu/releases/beyond-the-arab-street-cutting-edge-public-opinion-surveys-in-the-middle-east/

21 January 2012

A new generation of political Islamists steps forward from the Washington Post 20JAN12

 Americans fear the Islamist political parties because of ignorance and the hateful propaganda about Islam prominent since 9/11. Sharia law is described as repressive, abusive, and incompatible with democracy. What Americans fail to see, because of the logs in our own eyes, is the "reconstructionist" Christian philosophy of Ron Paul, the Mormonism of Mitt Romney, the extremely conservative Roman Catholic beliefs of Rick Santorum, and the manipulation of Christianity by extremist right wingers of the Republican party as seen in legislation introduced in the last Congress restricting the rights of and sometimes degrading American women (redefining rape is a good example) are a greater threat to American democracy than Islamist governments in the newly freed nations of the Middle East. American voters need to pay more attention to the threats to freedom, democracy and human rights by the current field of Republican candidates for president and worry less about Islamist politics in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and other nations of the Middle East.

By Olivier Roy

Everywhere, the Muslim Brotherhood is benefiting from a democratization it did not trigger. There is a political vacuum because the liberal vanguard that initiated the Arab Spring did not try, and did not want, to take power. This was a revolution without revolutionaries. Yet the Muslim Brothers are the only organized political force. They are rooted in society, and decades of opposition against authoritarian regimes gave them experience, legitimacy and respect. Their conservative agenda fits a conservative society, which may welcome democracy but did not turn liberal.
Under these circumstances, the ghost of a totalitarian Islamic state is raised, with the specter of imposing sharia and closing the short democratic parenthesis. But such an outcome is unlikely.
The Islamists have, in fact, changed: They are more middle-class “bourgeois,” and they benefited from the liberalization of local economies during the last decades of the 20th century, especially in countries with no oil rent. The Islamists have also drawn lessons from the failure of ideological regimes and from the success of Turkey’s AKP party. They are no longer advocating jihad and understand geostrategic constraints, such as the need to maintain peace, even a cold one, with Israel. Realism is the starting point of political wisdom.
The Islamists have been elected with a clear agenda: stability, good governance and a better economy. If they have been able to reach a larger constituency than the hard-core supporters of sharia, it is precisely because they can combine such a reformist agenda while talking about religion, values, identity and tradition. The Nahda party won the majority of the votes cast at the Tunisian consulate of San Francisco, although Tunisian expatriates in Silicon Valley are not known for their Islamic fundamentalism.
This mix of technocratic modernism and conservative values is their brand, and to turn their back on multipartism and legalism would alienate a large portion of their constituency, at a time when they have no means to confiscate power. They have neither military forces nor oil wealth to bypass the people: They have to negotiate and deliver. Their electorate wants stability and peace, not revolution.
They are stepping into a new political landscape: a democracy, although a fledgling and fragile one. The only way to maintain their legitimacy is through elections. Even if their pristine political culture is not democratic, they are formatted by the democratic landscape, much as the Roman Catholic Church ended up accepting democratic institutions. But it will take time.
Another important change, if we refer to the “revolutionary” period of the 1970s and 1980s, is that the Muslim Brothers do not monopolize Islam in the public sphere. In fact, the religious revival that has engulfed Arab societies led to a diversification and an individualization of the religious field. Religious state institutions such as Al Azhar, so recently discredited, are regaining autonomy after so recently being discredited. Al Azhar’s dean, Sheikh Ahmed Al-Tayyeb, openly spoke in favor of democracy and of separating religious institutions from the state. A new phenomenon is the decision of the Salafis, an ultraconservative Sunni sect, to establish political parties. On the one hand they will push for a more Islamic agenda, trying to outbid the Muslim Brothers on Islam, but this will force the Brotherhood to clarify its own position and to find a way to distance itself from the call for sharia.
To do that, the Muslim Brothers have to turn purely Islamic norms into more universal conservative values — such as limiting the sale and consumption of alcohol in a way that is closer to Utah’s rules than to Saudi laws and promoting “family values” instead of imposing sharia norms on women.
In the coming months the hot issue in Egypt, beyond the status of women, will be religious freedom. Not in the sense that Coptic Christians will have less freedom to practice — there were a lot of limitations under the so-called secular dictatorship of Hosni Mubarak — but in defining religious freedom as not merely a minority right but an individual human right, implying the right to convert from Islam to Christianity.
The issue is institutionalizing democracy, not promoting liberal policies. Democracy could take hold only if it is based in well-established values. Liberalism does not precede democracy; America’s Founding Fathers were not liberal. But once democracy is rooted in institutions and political culture, then the debate on freedom, censorship, social norms and individual rights could be managed through freedom of expression and changes of majorities in parliament. However, there will be no institutionalization of democracy without the Muslim Brothers.

06 January 2012

In Post-Gadhafi Libya, Islamists Start To Rise 3JAN12 & Strength of Egyptian Islamists proves a test for Obama’s pro-democracy policy in the Middle East 5JAN12

AMERICAN government officials and politicians are expressing their concern about the rising influence and political power of conservative Islamist political parties Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen and possibly Syria. In reality their concern is not for the fate of democracy in these countries, nor for the human rights of their citizens, but for the state and profitability of American corporate interest and of the U.S. military-industrial complex, dependent on sales of tools of government repression and weapons of mass destruction to the region. Oil and war are the reasons for American concern, not freedom, democracy and human rights, and American support of the violent defeat of the revolution in Bahrain has shown these countries what the American governments interest really are.
One also has to compare the extreme right wing "religious" policies of some of the Islamist parties in these countries with the "religious" policies of some politicians in the U.S. Some of the gop / tea-baggers presidential candidates (ron paul) are supported by and adhere to the beliefs of the "christian" reconstructionist movement, which calls for the nation to be governed by strict "religious" laws that differ with the Islamic Salafist only in the name of their faith. The others (rick perry, newt gingrich, mitt romney, rick santorum) support and are supported by "religious" groups that limit the human rights of women and children and preach intolerance of other faiths, secularism and ethnic groups, the same as mainstream Islamist like the Muslim Brotherhood. Maybe we should be more concerned about the threat to our freedom, democracy and human rights from the extreme "religious" right here in America before worrying about "religious" extremist in the Arab world. Here are two interesting articles from NPR and the Washington Post....
A rebel fighter stands on a monument inside Moammar Gadhafi's main compound in Tripoli.
Enlarge Sergey Ponomarev/AP A rebel fighter stands on a monument inside Moammar Gadhafi's main compound in Tripoli.
One year ago, protesters across the Arab world began to rise up against autocratic rulers, forcing several from power. These revolutions have led to the region's biggest upheaval in decades. It's still not clear how these seismic changes will play out, and so far, the results have been mixed. In a six-part series, NPR is taking a look at where the region stands today. In the second installment, NPR's Lourdes Garcia-Navarro reports on how Islamists in Libya, long suppressed during Moammar Gadhafi's 42-year rule, are now able to operate freely.
Kolo Street in Tripoli is unpaved, potholed and lined with crumbling concrete and mud brick homes. The residents here complain of decades of neglect under Moammar Gadhafi.
But now, after Libya's revolution, there's a sudden interest in their plight, and it's not coming from the transitional government.
On a recent day, a man answered questions about his family's situation from members of an Islamic charity that just started operating in the neighborhood. The group is promising to help him and the six members of his family with food and financial support.

More In This Series

Part 1: Turning Elections Into Democracy
Today: Islamists On The Rise
Part 3: Syria — A Looming Civil War?
Part 4: Bahrain — An Uprising Suppressed
Part 5: Turkey's Expanding Role
Part 6: The U.S. And The Arab Spring
One of the men, Shukry Jualy, who started the Helping Hands charity, says he is a Salafi Muslim — part of an ultra-conservative movement that exists in a number of Muslim countries.
While Jualy says his group has no political affiliation, Salafist parties have done well in neighboring Egypt's elections. Much of their support came through grass-roots community work that translated into votes.
Unlike in Egypt, though, Islamists in Libya are starting almost from scratch. Gadhafi was much more aggressive in stamping out Islamist influences in Libya. For example, his security forces arrested anyone with a long beard, a sign of Muslim piety. And attending the early morning prayers at mosques, a timeless ritual in most every Muslim country, was actually forbidden in Gadhafi's Libya.
But now that the dictator is gone, Islamist groups are wasting no time as they try to spread their influence.
'Rehabilitation' In Misrata
The men in this makeshift prison in Misrata are from all over Libya, captured in various battles, all purported to be Gadhafi fighters. At prayer time, they line up in a covered courtyard, kneeling and pressing their heads to the floor.
One of the striking things is that all of the men have uncut beards.
A prison guard calls the prison a "rehabilitation center." He says the men are required to pray five times a day and they are taught Islam.
Guard Haitham Mohammed says when the prisoners arrive, they have no idea how to read the Quran or how to be properly observant Muslims. The guards then begin teaching them, he says.
But what they are being taught is the Salafist strain, which the men who run the prison follow.
The prisoners say they are obligated to pray and leave their beards uncut, and they're forbidden to smoke. Anyone caught breaking the strict code is whipped.
Fattah Abdulsalam Dares runs this facility. Like many things in Libya these days, his appointment was haphazard. He had no prison guard experience. He's a businessman who became a rebel fighter and then took over the prison.
Dares' story is similar to that of many Islamists in Libya. Charming and voluble, he recounts how he was arrested and tortured under Gadhafi in the very same building he oversees as a prison now. His crime, he says, was simply sporting a long beard. Now, he encourages all of the prisoners to wear one.
"We Islamists want to show people our real face, not the evil one painted on us by the former regime," Dares says. We believe in charity and honesty, he says.
Islamists Becoming More Prominent
The Islamist message has resonated across the region in the wake of the Arab Spring.
"There's no doubt that this is the moment for Islamist politics and Islamist movements," says Samer Shehata, an assistant professor of Arab politics at Georgetown University.
Michael Hanna, a fellow at The Century Foundation, a progressive, nonpartisan think tank, adds that the decades of repression have actually helped push Islamist groups toward their strong position now.
There's no doubt that this is the moment for Islamist politics and Islamist movements.
"This is a reckoning that was a long time in coming," Hanna says. "The postponement of the integration of political Islam into the political process, and the opening up of democratic potential probably exacerbated the current situation."
Still, it's something that makes many in the West uneasy. In the case of Libya, the fear is that NATO's intervention will clear the way for hard-line Islamists to take power, as happened in Afghanistan in the 1990s after the Soviets were driven out.
Already, many of the most powerful Islamists in Libya have a complicated relationship with Western nations. Britain and America often colluded with Gadhafi's regime against Islamist militants in the wake of the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.
Among the most infamous cases is that of Abdul Hakim Belhaj, who headed the now defunct Libyan Islamic Fighting Group. It was deemed a terrorist organization with links to al-Qaida, though Belhaj has denied belonging to Osama bin Laden's global terrorist group. Belhaj is now the powerful head of the Tripoli Military Council.
In an interview with NPR, he told of his rendition back to Libya from Malaysia in 2004.
Belhaj is now suing the British government for what he says is its complicity in his kidnap and torture at Gadhafi's hands. Documents recently discovered seem to support his claim that Britain's MI6 organized his transfer back to Tripoli.
Belhaj now has political aspirations, and he's been in talks with other prominent Islamists since last April. He plans to start a political party, but infighting has delayed a formal announcement.
Divisions Among Islamists
There are many different kinds of Islamists in Libya, and there are deep divisions among them. The Libyan Muslim Brotherhood, which was initially slated to join the group, has now backed out.
Libya's Islamists are worried about their reception in a country with no history of political parties for 42 years and relentless propaganda by the Gadhafi regime against them. So, they have been trying to attract other groups to what they are branding a nationalist party and calling the National Assembly.
The party's manifesto, though, was written by one of the leading Islamist figures in Libya, Sheik Ali Sallabi.
In an extensive interview with NPR, Sallabi said the new party will be inclusive and independent in nature. While Islam and Sharia law will be the basis for any Libyan constitution, he says, he looks to models like Malaysia and Turkey instead of Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. He talks of a moderate Islam that is open to the outside and democratically minded.
It's a speech intended to ease concerns of critics in the West and in Libya. Recent polls show that while Libyans are pious and believe in Islam's role in society, they are extremely leery of Islamist parties.
"I think they are going to limit our freedom," says pharmacist Nouri Ghariyani. "Of course, we are Muslim but not Islamic. It is different; personally, I don't like them."
In many street interviews, people from all walks of life reiterated that fear.
And so Libya's Islamists are treading gingerly for now, waiting to see if, after 40 years under the shadow of a dictator, they can seize what seems to be their day.

More From This Series

 

23 June 2011

Egypt's Political Transformation Moves Slowly 22JUN11

IT is a natural part of the democratic process (consider our own history) for there to be concerns about the shape of the democratic government that will eventually assume control. Egyptians, who sacrificed so much and so many to bring freedom and democracy to their country need to remain vigilant, but also need to accept responsibility for the government they will get by remaining involved in the process through continued protest and by working together to bring about viable political organizations and parties committed to freedom, democracy and human rights for all in Egypt, and then remaining responsible for their government by participating in their democracy by voting. America should provide support through non-partisan NGOs like the Carter Center and American universities to guide the formation of democratic institutions in Egypt, but the ultimate outcome should be Egyptian, and as long as the outcome is a true democracy America should be prepared to assist the new Egyptian nation with more developmental than military aid to boost the stability of this fledgling democracy. From NPR....
Correction June 22, 2011
A previous version of this story incorrectly said that Hosni Mubarak had left office five months ago. It was actually four months ago.
Egyptian protesters wave national flags as they attend a rally in Tahrir Square in Cairo on May 27.
Khalil Hamra/AP Egyptian protesters wave national flags as they attend a rally in Tahrir Square in Cairo on May 27.
Four months after Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak was ousted, the military remains firmly in charge. But the question of who will ultimately control the country remains wide open.
The army will clearly remain a powerful influence. Memories remain strong of the 1952 revolution against the monarchy — when army officers pledged a transition to democracy but gradually consolidated their hold on power.

U.S. Relations With Egypt

For all the changes still occurring within Egypt's government, the country is expected to remain an ally of the United States. Just maybe not as reliable as it once was.
Analysts do not predict any major rift when it comes to the major areas of cooperation between the two countries, including strong ties between the militaries and continuing peace with Israel. But no one expects Egypt to be as compliant as it was under deposed President Hosni Mubarak.
Egypt will instead take steps that will occasionally anger the U.S., such as its recent decision to open its border with Gaza. "Frankly, you can't get away with what Mubarak was getting away with," says Joshua Stracher, a Kent State political scientist.
But the U.S., for its part, is frustrating some Egyptians. President Obama last month unveiled a $2 billion aid package for Egypt and Tunisia that was considered modest in the Middle East. Congress doesn't appear likely to approve anything more, however.
That leads some analysts to suggest that the U.S. is missing a bet by not doing more. Egypt remains central to the nation's strategy for the region.
"You have a very broad sense in the Middle East that Egypt is the most strategic thing in play and that the U.S. isn't doing enough to nudge it in the right way," says Jon Alterman, senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
— Alan Greenblatt
But today's military has made it clear that it doesn't, ultimately, want to be in charge. "They don't want to govern during what is going to be a turbulent period economically," says Shibley Telhami, a Middle East scholar at the University of Maryland.
If the military is wary of bearing full responsibility for running the country over the long term, so is the Muslim Brotherhood. The Islamist group led the opposition against Mubarak in the years leading up to this past winter's upheaval and remains perhaps the best-organized political force in the country.
Opening Up A Power Vacuum
Still, the Muslim Brotherhood is aware that the prospect of its coming to power creates anxiety for many Egyptians and the international community. The group has pledged to limit its reach for now and says it won't put up a candidate for president, nor contest a majority of parliamentary seats.
"They envision having a significant number of seats in Parliament, which would allow them to be a kingmaker," Telhami says. "Ideally, they'd like to be the kingmakers without being accountable."
The military and the Muslim Brotherhood appear to have come to some tacit understanding about the roles each will play in the political process in the coming months. But who, then, will fill the vacuum?
No one resembling a front-running candidate has emerged in the nascent presidential contest. Meanwhile, the organizers of the pro-democracy demonstrations that brought Mubarak down are pleading for more time to get their political operations in shape.
"I am surprised, and I think many Egyptians are, that we haven't seen a more rapid consolidation of the opposition into an actual political movement, or string of political movements," says Jon Alterman, director of the Middle East program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Mohammed Badie, the head of Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood, speaks to the press in Cairo on March 19. Democracy activists argue that the timetable for elections is too rapid and will give the advantage to the Muslim Brotherhood and  elements of Mubarak's old party.
Mahmud Hams/AFP/Getty Images Mohammed Badie, the head of Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood, speaks to the press in Cairo on March 19. Democracy activists argue that the timetable for elections is too rapid and will give the advantage to the Muslim Brotherhood and elements of Mubarak's old party.
Debate On Delaying Elections
The popular referendum approved in March calls for parliamentary elections to be held in September. Parliament will then appoint an assembly to rewrite the Constitution and pave the way for presidential elections.
Democracy activists argue that timetable is too rapid. Early elections, they contend, would give the advantage to the Muslim Brotherhood and elements of Mubarak's old party. They want more time to get ready.
About three dozen youth and political groups are supporting a "Constitution First" platform, seeking to change the sequence of how the country's laws are revised. They received a boost on Sunday when Prime Minister Essam Sharaf said he would support delaying parliamentary elections beyond September to give the "political landscape" more time to jell.
Some Power Through Protest
The youth and political groups are collecting signatures in support of such a delay and are calling for a massive rally in Cairo's Tahrir Square on July 8 in support of their cause.
Protests in the now-legendary square have remained a regular feature of the post-Mubarak era. Protesters have won important concessions from the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, the military junta running the country, such as subjecting Mubarak and his sons to criminal investigation.
"It's been kind of remarkable what the protesters have been able to accomplish," says Jason Brownlee, a government professor at the University of Texas. "Every time they go out and do a protest in Tahrir, they seem to get a concession."
No Going Backward?
But protests won't forever remain the primary means of political expression. Once elections are held, the new government will have to deal with public demands.
Telhami, the Maryland professor, is optimistic that holding elections will "transform" Egypt's political environment. "The people who organized the uprisings in the first place are not going to let an elected government get away with going backward."
Not all observers of the situation in Egypt are so sanguine. The Muslim Brotherhood, while shying away from seizing political power in the near term, will want to play a large role in setting the policy agenda.
And the military will continue to have its influence as well. It may continue to play a role akin to that of the military in Turkey in recent decades, which has occasionally stepped in and overthrown civilian governments that pursued a course that the military opposed.
Some worry that the types of liberalizing changes allowed by SCAF have been cosmetic, at best, such as renaming the old state security agency.
"The security apparatus is essentially unchanged and the military's always been the core of the regime, anyway," says Joshua Stacher, a political scientist at Kent State University.
"This leads me to believe we're in a situation where we're seeing the reconstruction of authoritarian institutions," he says. "All this doesn't really bode well for the kind of changes that people aspired to on Feb. 11, when Mubarak left."

15 May 2011

Family Law At The Crux Of Algerian Women's Futures 15MAI11 & House Passes "Redefining Rape" Bill, H.R. 3 4MAI11

An Algerian family enjoys a picnic in Tipaza, a vacation town about 40 miles from Algiers. Many Algerian women say that wearing  the veil is not an issue in their emancipation; what matters is their  family situation, which is influenced by a strict code that governs  marriage and family life.
Enlarge Eleanor Beardsley/NPR An Algerian family enjoys a picnic in Tipaza, a vacation town about 40 miles from Algiers. Many Algerian women say that wearing the veil is not an issue in their emancipation; what matters is their family situation, which is influenced by a strict code that governs marriage and family life.
Algeria, which shares a border with both Tunisia and Libya, is so far just watching the upheaval across the Arab world. Most Algerians say their country is still too scarred by a decade of violence in the 1990s to endure another uprising.
Nearly every Algerian now calls that a lost decade, but no one feels it more acutely than Algerian women.

More On Algeria's Civil War

At the end of the 1980s, massive protests brought many political and personal freedoms to civil society in Algeria, but the gains were short-lived. With Islamists poised to win elections in 1991 and institute Shariah law, the government canceled the elections.
After that, the Algerian state battled an Islamist insurgency and nearly 200,000 people died.
During that time, women's position in society regressed, feminists say, and the country has turned more conservative. Now, women say they feel like they're waking up after a long sleep.
The Family Code
Children play in the crowded lanes of the Algiers Casbah, a hilly neighborhood of mosques and cramped houses that overlooks the Mediterranean Sea. Most of the women there are veiled; some even cover their faces.
Women walk down a winding street in the Casbah in Algiers.
Enlarge Eleanor Beardsley/NPR Women walk down a winding street in the Casbah in Algiers.
But the traditional quarter is also the birthplace of Algerian female emancipation. It was in the Casbah that women joined men to fight the French during the war for independence in the late 1950s.
The famous Battle of Algiers took place in the Casbah in 1957, and photos of the female martyrs hang on tea house walls.
Across town, in a more modern neighborhood, Nadia Ait Zai runs a women's association. She says Algerian men and women are equal under some laws, like the ones governing the workplace. But a special law called the family code keeps women from true emancipation.
"Algeria and Morocco still have these archaic, rigid Muslim laws that govern family life," she says. "They allow the husband to be able to unilaterally divorce his wife, and permit polygamy for the man. So it's these kinds of things that are holding us back."
Ait Zai says in real life, Algerian women take more rights than they are given on paper. The protests at the end of the 1980s brought political reform and greater freedom for everyone, especially women, with increased female literacy and employment.
But that era of hope and openness ended when the Islamist insurgency plunged the country into a brutal civil war that lasted through the 1990s. Ait Zai calls that decade a devastating setback for women.
"It was horrible because the Islamists' first targets were women," Ait Zai says. "For them, the change in society began with the total submission of women. They wanted women to stay home, wear the veil and just be procreators."
Proving Themselves In The Classroom
Ait Zai and other women say they're only just now regaining what they lost during the civil war, known as the Black Decade. While most people reject extremist Islam, society is more conservative now, says Ait Zai.
She says more women wear the veil, and most don't work outside the home. One exception is the medical profession; more than half of Algeria's doctors are women.
I see [female students'] reactions when I teach some things about our criminal code. They're revolted. They don't agree. And they show their disgust with the male students who are generally more conservative.
Dr. Amel Abbess practices forensic medicine at one of Algiers' main hospitals, and she also teaches at the local university. Abbess says Algerian society is macho, like the rest of the Mediterranean world. But she says young women are proving themselves today by excelling in their studies. Most of her female students might wear the veil, but it doesn't mean they don't stand up for their rights, she explains.
"I see their reactions when I teach some things about our criminal code. They're revolted. They don't agree. And they show their disgust with the male students who are generally more conservative," she says.
Abbess is referring to Algeria's laws that don't allow victims of rape to receive an abortion, unless the rapist is a terrorist. Abbess says that caveat was added by the government during the warped decade of the civil war.
True Emancipation
On the streets in Algiers, many women wear the veil; others don't. But Algerian women say the veil is not an issue in their emancipation — what matters is their family situation. Unlike most Algerian women her age, 40-year-old Salima Benhadid is not married and she has a paying job. Both give her a rare independence.
"The Algerian woman is always dependent on a man, especially if she doesn't work," Benhadid says. "And if she divorces, she may end up with nothing and then be dependent on her brothers or her parents. That's the real problem."
Benhadid, feminist Ait Zai and other women here say their lower status within the family is at the core of their inequality. They say true emancipation will come with work, independence and, of course, amendments to the family code.

House Passes "Redefining Rape" Bill, H.R. 3

| Wed May. 4, 2011 8:53 AM PDT
UPDATED: The House of Representatives passed the "No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion Act" on a 251-175 vote Wednesday afternoon. The bill has been the subject of a lot of controversy over the possibility that it could redefine rape for the purposes of abortion law and force IRS agents to ask questions during audits about whether a woman who had received an abortion had been raped or was the victim of incest. However, the bill is almost certainly DOA in the Senate, which is run by Democrats and is more sympathetic to abortion rights. Even if H.R. 3 did pass the Senate, President Barack Obama has vowed to veto it.
I've been following the action live on Twitter. I'd put a Twitter widget here, but they generally aren't very good (they either show old tweets ahead of new tweets or don't refresh), so I'd encourage you to just follow me on Twitter.

27 January 2011

EGYPT ROCKED BY PROTEST FOR FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY ACROSS THE COUNTRY 27JAN11

UPDATES on the volatile situation in Egypt, protest throughout the country and shootings of protesters in Cairo and Suez.......
I am reading 'Ghost Wars', a fascinating book to be reading while all this is developing in across the Maghreb and Yemen. The chapter I was reading today includes the decision in 1995 to close the American embassy in Khartoum. Included are the thoughts of the then U.S. Ambassador to Sudan, Timothy Carney, and they provide a warning to the U.S. government in relations to the the developments in North Africa and Yemen. Ambassador Carney advocated direct engagement with governments and political organizations. To quote, "The United States could reduce the threat of Islamic radicalism if it learned to interact with Islamist in more sophisticated ways, distinguishing between peaceful movements of religious revival and those bent on violence. Instead it was (is) clinging to alliances in the Middle East with corrupt, failing secular regimes such as Egypt's, which encouraged (encourages) Washington to lump all Islamic political groups into one 'terrorist' camp." The U.S. government has to take a stronger stand supporting democracy activist in the nations of the Maghreb and Yemen. Pres. Obama has to condemn all violence and if the governments of these nations use violence against peaceful protest and violate their citizens human rights as provided for in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights with mass arrest, beatings, torture, killings and complete censorship of the media, internet and social networks. Failure of the governments involved to peacefully resolve the grievances of their people should result in the suspension of all U.S. government aid involving said countries military, intelligence and law enforcement agencies. This aid should not be resumed until the government in power adopts the democratic reforms as demanded by the people, or the new government established by a revolution is based on and committed to the demands for true democracy (a work in progress in Tunisia). If the U.S. government continues to play both side of the fence we will end up without any allies in the area, no matter who ends up in power. 

Egypt’s Internet cut off ahead of largest-yet day of protests

By Agence France-Presse
Thursday, January 27th, 2011 -- 8:49 pm
http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/01/egypt-internet-cut-protests/ 
See also: Mass shootings reported in port city of Suez
US Chamber of Commerce partner 'went to bat for Egyptian dictator'
ABC reporter tear-gassed in Egypt protest
CAIRO — Internet service was disrupted in Egypt early Friday as cell phone text messaging appeared to be down, hours before activists who used both to organize large anti-government protests planned further actions.
The interior ministry had said in a statement late Thursday it would take "decisive measures" against dissidents who planned protests after Friday noon prayers, saying the activists "sent messages to citizens to gather in a number of mosques in the provinces during Friday prayers."
Tens of thousands protested around the country on Tuesday in the largest anti-government demonstrations in decades.
The protests continued on Wednesday and Thursday, killing five demonstrators and two policemen in clashes.
Mobile phone services went down on Tuesday in a downtown Cairo area where most of the protesters were gathered, and the social networking site Twitter said its services were also blocked that day.
In Cairo, internet users said they could not access the web, with some saying access was slow and intermittent, starting late Thursday. Text messaging was also unavailable.

Breaking Intelligence on the Suez Situation

Arabic Language video describing mass shootings in Suez city on the evening of the 26th January 2011 with text translation.
Philip Brennan | PhilipBrennan.net | 27 January 2011:
I have finally managed to get a translation / transcript in English of a very important video from last night, so I am posting it up now and I ask that you make this go viral.
Translation / Transcript:
The anchor: Secretariat of the national assembly for change Ahmad … Mister Ahmad: Can you describe what is happening in suez now ?
Mr Ahmad: What is happening now in Suez goes beyond the imagination of logic and mind. What is happening in Suez now is a real streets war with all what it means .. Now on the ground, there are tens of rallies in the streets of Suez.. Now there are tens of people on the ground some injured and some killed .. There is burning of the headquarters of Arbaeen neighborhood, and the police station of Muthallath .. There is burning of the headquarter of the national party in Arbaeen .. There is an unprecedented kind of violence. The police is hitting by live and rubber bullets since yesterday.
We counted today morning 4 victims, but now the number exceeds this a lot ,, a lot more .
The anchor: Did you observe these numbers or you have numbers from hospitals or more trusted sources ?
Mr Ahmad: There is a lot of chaos that doesn’t allow you to get the exact numbers. The situation is out of control and can’t be measured by logic .. There is unprecedented violence on the ground done by the security forces in Suez . Yesterday, the rallies continued from 12 till 6:25 .. Tens of thousands of Suez citizens went out on one of the finest peaceful demonstrations. The demonstrations went on for 6 hours and not a single stone was thrown. Not even a single glass board was broken .. Till 6:25 we were leading a peaceful rallies in Suez .. We were calling for the departure of Moubarak and the necessity of political amendments .. At 6:25 the security started to clash with the citizens in a very dangerous way .. The politics was out and the issue turned into mutual violence .. In this mutual violence live and rubber bullets were used ,, The police haven’t used live bullets in any of the governorates except in Suez .. We appeal to the whole world , we appeal to the conscience, what is happening in Suez is a crime.
The anchor: OK time ran out , Mr Ahmad, the head of the Secretariat of the national assembly for change , thank you.
Major Hat Tip: gerrard2785882
Please disseminate this video with the text translation / transcript far and wide and let's blow the Suez Massacre wide open. The translator is trustworthy as a personal friend of mine, and I will vouch for the veracity of the above translation / transcript personally.
 

Raw Video: Man Shot in Egypt Protest


AssociatedPress | January 27, 2011 
Violence escalated in two cites outside the Egyptian capital Cairo on Thursday as anti-government protests continued to grip the country and challenge President Hosni Mubarak's regime. (Jan. 27)

ABC Reporter Caught In Middle Of Egypt Protests (VIDEO)


 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/01/27/abc-reporter-caught-in-mi_n_815131.html
The biggest protests in over three decades are engulfing Egypt, and ABC News' Alex Marquardt was swept up in the middle of one of them. He and his crew even got tear gassed by the Egyptian police along with the crowd around them. Below, see Marquardt's report from Cairo--including the moment when he was gassed.