IT IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT to keep reminding people to register to vote and then vote on TUESDAY, 3 NOVEMBER 2020. Failure to get out the vote will condemn the nation to four more years of fascism, corruption, greed, hate, racism, xenophobia, bigotry, misogyny, violence and evangelical apostasy that is the administration of (NOT MY) pres drumpf / trump, (NOT MY) vice pres pence and the gop / greed over people-republican controlled senate. Check out Joe Biden's campaign website and then go to Rock the Vote or U.S. Vote Foundation to check your voter registration, to register to vote and to get details about voting in your state. From the Washington Post.....
Biden’s lead is tighter than it seems
The presidential campaign remains closer than top-line polling numbers suggest.
 | By James Hohmann with Mariana Alfaro  Email |
Joe Biden leads President Trump by 15 points among registered voters, 55 percent to 40 percent, in a Washington Post-ABC News poll released Sunday, up from 10 points in May and two points in March.
Among those who say they are certain to vote, the presumptive Democratic nominee’s lead shrinks to 11 points.
Among those who say they voted in 2016 and are certain to do so again in 2020, Biden’s lead narrows to seven points.
The Post-ABC poll, conducted July 12-15 among a random national sample of 1,006 adults, has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
The percentage of adults who back the president and say they are certain to vote stands at 81 percent, up from 78 percent in May. Among adults supporting Biden, 77 percent say they are certain to vote, up from 67 percent in May.
President Trump golfs Sunday at his course in Sterling, Va. He was joined by Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.). (Manuel Balce Ceneta/AP)
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Democrat Hillary Clinton won the national popular vote four years ago but lost in the electoral college because of narrow defeats across the industrial Midwestern states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Operatives involved in the contest agree the race is tighter in these battlegrounds than nationally.
Though Biden finds himself in an undeniably enviable position for a challenger, Clinton also led Trump in every national poll four summers ago. Democratic nominees John Kerry and Michael Dukakis both led in polls conducted during the summers of 2004 and 1988, respectively, only to lose in the fall.
Moreover, the advantages of incumbency are significant. It has been 28 years since a president lost his bid for a second term.
The country remains deeply polarized. The political environment has proven volatile. What will happen 100-plus days from now is unpredictable. What if a Supreme Court vacancy unexpectedly opens? What if Biden flubs in the debates? What if he picks a running mate who struggles to withstand the spotlight of national scrutiny?
Our poll finds a lot of interest in the election: 86 percent of registered voters say they are certain to vote in November, higher at this point in any of the past three elections.
But the novel coronavirus injects layers of uncertainty related to forecasting turnout, with open questions about how millions will cast their ballots and whether mail-in voting might deter some people from participating. The poll finds that 59 percent of Americans say they prefer to vote in person, compared to 38 percent who say they would rather vote by mail.
“Trump has repeatedly attacked voting by mail as subject to fraud, and the new survey shows that slightly more Americans say they think mail-in voting is vulnerable to significant levels of fraud, with 49 percent agreeing with that statement compared with 43 percent who say there are adequate protections to prevent significant fraud,” Dan Balz and Scott Clement report. “But those percentages are driven by Trump’s own party, with 73 percent of Republicans saying mail-in voting is subject to significant levels of fraud and 66 percent of Democrats saying there are adequate levels of protection against such problems.”
There are two other caution flags for Biden, who failed in his first two bids for the presidency. Despite the myriad of deeply reported blunders in the president’s response to the cascade of crises enveloping the country, Trump and Biden are tied at 45 percent when respondents were asked who they think is the stronger leader.
Trump still retains a narrow advantage on the economy, with 47 percent saying they trust him more and 45 percent saying they trust Biden more. That is down from an eight-point edge in March.
Notably, Biden has a 20-point lead on who is more trusted to deal with the coronavirus, a 25-point advantage on race relations and a nine-point advantage on crime and public safety.
Perhaps the best dynamic for Biden right now, though, is that voters across the ideological spectrum see this year’s election mainly as a referendum on Trump’s performance in office, whether they love or hate him. The president’s overall job approval rating has dropped to 39 percent, with 57 percent disapproving – and 48 percent of Americans strongly disapproving.
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The Biden campaign plans to step up outreach to disillusioned Republicans. The Associated Press reports that former Ohio governor John Kasich, a candidate for the GOP presidential nomination in 2016, is expected to speak at the Democratic National Convention on Biden’s behalf next month.
Trump has struggled to define his challenger, prompting him to change up his messaging and even his campaign team in recent weeks. Last Wednesday, he demoted campaign manager Brad Parscale to a digital-focused role and put Bill Stepien in charge. Trump has largely shifted from trying to cast the former vice president as “Sleepy Joe,” with declining mental capacity, to portraying him as a far-left agent of chaos and destruction. White House senior adviser Stephen Miller has circulated dozens of bullet-pointed attacks on Biden that are at odds with reality and deeply ingrained public perceptions of Biden.
“The author of many of Trump’s most pugilistic public statements, Miller has raised concerns to other White House aides that the campaign’s messaging has not been tough enough on Biden … and a cadre of White House officials have begun working on campaign issues through their private email accounts and text message chains” Michael Scherer and Josh Dawsey report. “In the talking points he distributed, Biden’s elevation to the White House was described as an event that would ‘surrender America and its citizens to the violent left-wing mob,’ ‘import terrorists,’ and ‘allow left-wing fascists to destroy America.’ … (Biden launched his campaign with a video quoting the Declaration of Independence and has condemned the removal of statues that do not commemorate the Confederacy.)”
In a pre-taped interview for “Fox News Sunday,” Trump claimed that Biden wants to defund the police. In fact, the Democratic candidate has said he disagrees with that idea and even proposed increasing funding to departments that meet certain standards. Trump promised to produce proof for his assertion, which the campaign also levels in attack ads. “The White House has never sent us evidence,” anchor Chris Wallace said as he aired the interview, “because there is none.”
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