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30 October 2016

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29 October 2016

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VIDEO: The Daily Show - Jordan Klepper Fingers the Pulse - Conspiracy Theories Thrive at a Trump Rally


The Daily Show - Jordan Klepper Fingers the Pulse - Conspiracy Theories Thrive at a Trump Rally

Published on Sep 21, 2016
Jordan Klepper gets Donald Trump supporters to share their non-reality-based opinions about Hillary Clinton and President Obama.

WHAT WOULD YOU DO IF YOU FOUND OUT......

Election Update: The FBI Is Back — This Time With Anthony Weiner 28OKT16


THIS is a disgrace, it is nothing more than illegal interference in a presidential election, a violation by fbi director james comey, a  republican, of the Hatch Act. The Justice Department needs to begin an investigation into james comey's actions. This from +FiveThirtyEight .....

Election Update: The FBI Is Back — This Time With Anthony Weiner

I was just sitting here thinking that we were in for a relatively newsless, perhaps even anticlimactic, finish to the presidential campaign. Then the news broke that FBI Director James Comey sent a letter to congressional leaders saying that the FBI had “learned of the existence of emails that appear to be pertinent to the investigation” of Hillary Clinton’s personal email server during her time as secretary of state. The FBI will take “appropriate investigative steps” to review the emails, the letter said.
The emails apparently came from electronic devices belonging to Anthony Weiner, the former congressman, and his wife, Huma Abedin, an aide to Clinton, and surfaced as part of an investigation into lewd text messages that Weiner sent to underage women. It isn’t clear that the emails directly implicate Clinton, and the reporting I’ve followed so far suggests that in a legal sense, Comey’s decision to inform Congress may be something done out of an “abundance of caution.” But in a political sense, there’s certainly some downside for Clinton in the appearance of headlines containing the words “FBI,” “investigation” and “email” just 11 days before the election.
We’ll return to the FBI news in a moment, but first, a quick look at where our forecast stands — and I’ll remind you that it is based on polls and won’t reflect any effect from the FBI news until the polls do. We’ve reached the point in the campaign in which there are so many polls coming in — state polls, national polls, tracking polls, one-off polls — that it’s really nice to have a model to sort out all the data. A couple of days ago, the model was beginning to detect tenuous signs that the presidential race was tightening. Now, that seems a bit clearer. Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump is now 5.7 percentage points in our polls-only model, down from 7.1 points on Oct. 17. And Trump’s chances of winning the election have recovered to 18 percent from a low of 12 percent. Trump’s chances in our polls-plus forecast are 21 percent, improved from a low of 15 percent.
Almost all the tightening is happening because Trump’s numbers have improved. Clinton’s share of the vote — about 46 percent in national polls— is still as high as it’s been all campaign. But Trump seems to have brought home some Republicans who were thinking about sitting out the election or voting for a third-party candidate. Libertarian Gary Johnson has fallen to 5 percent in our popular-vote forecast — his lowest point to date. (If Johnson finishes with less than 5 percent, the Libertarian Party would be deprived of federal matching funds for the 2020 election.) The undecided vote is also declining, although it remains high compared with recent elections.
The tightening is modest enough that it’s not apparent in every poll. It isn’t hard to find polls with favorable trend lines for Clinton, in fact. But there are slightly more of them that have favorable trend lines for Trump, at least compared with his mid-October lows.
To take a wider vantage point: If you’d told Clinton a year ago that she would enter the final week of the campaign with a 5- or 6-point lead and roughly an 80 percent chance of winning the presidency, she’d probably have been very pleased with that. At the same time, we haven’t seen the bottom completely fall out for Trump as seemed possible a week or two ago. There have been no major opposition-research dumps on Trump over the last week, and he’s been relatively quiet on the campaign trail, making less news than he usually does. (Obligatory caveat: That could change at any time.)
Instead, the surprise of the day was a negative one for Clinton. Our general view of campaign-related news coverage is that it’s evolved a lot from 2012, when many events were hyped to be “game-changers” and very few turned out to move the polls. In fact, among some of the more empirically minded journalists I follow, the conventional wisdom may have overcompensated too far in the direction of “lolz nothing matters,” downplaying the importance of events that seemed highly likely to move the polls, such as the first presidential debate. In general, making news of any kind has been bad for Clinton and Trump, as periods of more intense coverage have been followed by declines in the polls.
One of those events came July 5, when Comey announced that there would be no criminal charges in the investigation into Clinton’s server but repudiated Clinton for the way she handled email. That announcement brought the story back into the news and preceded a 2-percentage-point drop for Clinton in national polls, although there was no obvious gain for Trump — instead, voters retreated into the undecided column.
If, hypothetically, the same thing were to happen again — Clinton loses 2 points to undecided overnight — her odds of winning the election would decline to 68 percent in our polls-only model. So that’s a significant shift.
But it’s not clear that the situations are comparable, especially if the “investigative steps” have nothing directly to do with Clinton or her email server and won’t be completed until after the election. My hunch (like The Washington Post’s Dave Weigel’s) is that Weiner is such a tragicomic figure, and such a lightning rod for news coverage, that he could insulate Clinton from some of the fallout she might have suffered otherwise. There are also fewer undecided voters now than there were in July, voter choices are more locked in, and many people have already voted — which could lessen the impact.
Even so, the news could get Republican partisans riled up, increasing turnout, and could play into a closing message for Trump about Clinton’s “corruption” — if he’s disciplined enough to sustain one. At a minimum, there’s no upside in the story for Clinton.
To repeat, our forecasts won’t show any impact until and unless the polls do. But in general, FiveThirtyEight’s models are relatively quick about detecting trends from the polls. At the same time, they account for a greater amount of uncertainty than most other models, which results in a better chance for the trailing candidate (in this case, Trump). Our forecast already saw Clinton as less of a sure thing than other models, which variously give her a 92 percent to a 99 percent chance of winning as compared with our roughly 80 percent chance, and that gap could widen in the coming days.
Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.  

Electoral votes

Hillary Clinton
324.3
Donald Trump
212.6
Evan McMullin
1.0
Gary Johnson
0.1

Popular vote

Hillary Clinton
49.5%
Donald Trump
44.0%
Gary Johnson
4.9%
Other
1.6%
Chance of winning
FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
80.6%
Donald Trump
19.4%
FiveThirtyEight

Chance of winning control
FiveThirtyEight
Democrats
72.8%
Republicans
27.2%
FiveThirtyEight



28 October 2016

Registered Republican arrested for voter fraud in Iowa. & North Carolina Republicans try to stop 100-year-old Grace Bell Hardison from voting & 3 suspected of voter fraud in Polk County 27OKT16

Image result for election fraud meme
SO there is some truth to the republican's and donald drumpf's/trump's claims about voter fraud. The problem is it is being committed by republicans!!!!! But that won't stop republicans playing dirty to keep registered voters from voting in N Carolina. From +Daily Kos and the +Des Moines Register .....
Registered Republican arrested for voter fraud in Iowa.
A Des Moines woman has been arrested on suspicion of voting twice this month in the general election, police and court records show.
Terri Lynn Rote, 55, was booked into the Polk County Jail about 3:40 p.m. Thursday on a first-degree election misconduct charge, which is a Class D felony.
Rote, a registered Republican, reportedly cast an early voting ballot at the Polk County Election Office, 120 Second Ave., and another ballot at a county satellite voting location in Des Moines, according to a Des Moines police report.
Rote was one of three voter fraud suspects reported to police Wednesday by the Polk County Auditor's Office.
 North Carolina Republicans try to stop 100-year-old Grace Bell Hardison from voting
North Carolina voter Grace Bell Hardison
A lifetime of residence in North Carolina, a quarter of a century of never missing a vote is not enough of a history for Republicans there, so they tried to keep this voter out of the polls.
Just weeks before early voting began in North Carolina, Grace Bell Hardison, a 100-year-old African-American woman, was informed that her voter registration status was being challenged. If she didn’t appear at a county board of election meeting or return a notarized form she would be removed from the voting rolls.
Hardison has lived in Belhaven, North Carolina, her entire life and voted regularly for the last twenty-four years, including in North Carolina’s presidential primary in March. “The first thing out of her mouth was ‘I can’t vote,’” her nephew Greg Sattherwaite said after she received the letter. “She loves to vote. She will not miss election time.”
Hardison’s registration was challenged by Shane Hubers, a Belhaven Republican, based on a mailing done last year by a candidate for Mayor. Mail that was returned as undeliverable in 2015 became the basis for the challenge list.
That's voter caging, by the way—sending out a mass mailing to get undeliverable addresses, then attempting to strike those voters from the rolls. In this case, the mail was sent to Hardison's house, but she has all her mail delivered to a post office box. Hardison is by no means the only North Carolina voter to be targeted. The challenge list from that mailing included 138 people, 92 of whom (like Hardison) are black and registered Democrats. Hardison's family got in touch with local media, which reported those figures, and shamed Hubers into dropped his challenge. But caging is happening in other North Carolina counties as well.
This is one of the activities that has forced the Republican National Committee to "refrain from undertaking any ballot security activities" by court order since 1981, a consent decree that Democrats petitioned on Wednesday to be renewed for another eight years because of the Trump campaign's call for poll watchers to "stop crooked Hillary from rigging this election." 
The North Carolina GOP isn't under any such decree, so they'll keep going after 100-year-old voters, and everyone else, who they think might just be voting Democratic this year.

3 suspected of voter fraud in Polk County

, chaley@dmreg.com2:45 p.m. CDT October 27, 2016

Three people have tried to vote multiple times in the general election this month in Polk County, according to Des Moines police reports.
The Polk County Auditor's Office reported the cases to police Wednesday, according to the reports.
It's the first time in 12 years that Polk County Auditor Jamie Fitzgerald can remember ever having to report potential voter fraud, he said. The case has been turned over to police for investigation. It's unclear whether criminal charges will be filed.
According to police reports, two of the incidents involved people casting mail-in ballots and also voting in person at one of the county's early voting locations.
Another incident involved a person casting a ballot at the county election office, 120 Second Ave., and another ballot at a satellite voting location in Des Moines.
"I think it shows that our voting system works in Iowa, that we're able to catch it," Fitzgerald said.
"Tensions are running high on both sides" as Election Day approaches, the auditor said, but the cases of double voting could also have been simple mistakes. "That's not for me to decide," he said.
The cases are being investigated by Des Moines police.
Early voting in Polk County started Sept. 29. Election Day is Nov. 8.

‏@AP BREAKING: US official: Newly discovered emails related to Clinton investigation did not come from her private server. & Complaint asking DOJ to investigate Comey's conduct interfering into election has been filed. & GOP Scandal Falls Apart As New Emails Didn’t Come From Hillary Clinton’s Server 28OKT16

BREAKING: US official: Newly discovered emails related to Clinton investigation did not come from her private server.
11:53 AM - 28 Oct 2016
THE backlash against fbi director james comey announcement about investigation into "Clinton e mails" has begun, and it is based on facts and the law, not politics. This from +Daily Kos and +PoliticusUSA ......
Complaint asking DOJ to investigate Comey's conduct interfering into election has been filed.
WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 14:  FBI Director James Comey testifies before the House Homeland Security Committee in the Canon House Office Building on Capitol Hill July 14, 2016 in Washington, DC. Comey and other intelligence leaders testified about threats to the United States by the so-called Islamic State or ISIS.  (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
A complaint has been filed against FBI Director James Comey with Department of Justice Office of Professional Responsibility that accuses him of interfering in a presidential election.
A complaint has been filed against FBI Director James Comey with Department of Justice Office of Professional Responsibility that accuses him of interfering in a presidential election.
The Democratic Coalition Against Trump released a statement announcing their complaint:
The Democratic Coalition Against Trump filed a complaint with the Department of Justice Office of Professional Responsibility on Friday against FBI Director James Comey for interfering in the Presidential election, following the FBI’s decision to open up an investigation into Secretary Clinton’s emails this close to Election Day. Federal employees are forbidden from participating in political activities under the Hatch Act.
“It is absolutely absurd that FBI Director Comey would support Donald Trump like this with only 11 days to go before the election,” said Scott Dworkin, Senior Advisor to the Democratic Coalition Against Trump. “It is an obvious attack from a lifelong Republican who used to serve in the Bush White House, just to undermine her campaign. Comey needs to focus on stopping terrorists and protecting America, not investigating our soon to be President-Elect Hillary Clinton.”

The Department of Justice should get involved in this, seeing that this seems as this is a politically motivated action on Comey’s part, breaking with longstanding tradition of not commenting on ongoing investigations.   And, the excuse used that the circumstances here make it necessary (race for the Presidency) is shallow, since we are getting a “no comment” on the FBI’s investigation into Trump’s links to Russian interests, white supremacy groups.
If Comey’s actions were politically motivated, he would be in violation of the Hatch Act.
What Republicans initially viewed as a new hope in the presidential election has quickly been exposed as a desperately political ploy.
The American people deserve a full explanation from Director Comey, because the letter that was released today raises more questions than answers.


A former DOJ spokesman commented publicly about how unusual Comey’s actions have been.
A former director of the Justice Department’s office of public affairs said Friday that FBI Director James Comey’s letter to Congress announcing the review of more evidence in the investigation of Hillary Clinton’s private email server constituted “such an inappropriate disclosure.”
Matthew Miller, who served at the Department of Justice under Attorney General Eric Holder, blasted Comey's move in a 14-post spree on Twitter Friday afternoon, ripping the FBI director for his practices throughout the entire Clinton investigation. Miller said Comey “flagrantly violated DOJ rules” by holding a press conference in July to announce that he was recommending against charges for the former secretary of state, a decision the FBI director said at the time that he made in the interest of transparency.
“flagrantly violated DOJ rules” in July.  
“But today's disclosure might be worst abuse yet," Miller tweeted, adding that in his experience, the Justice Department “goes out of its way to avoid publicly discussing investigations” when elections are close.
Miller said those precautions are not just limited to public statements, writing that the department often avoids sending subpoenas or taking other steps that might become public until an election is over.
The Justice Department does that, he said, “because voters have no way to interpret FBI/DOJ activity in a neutral way.” Miller wrote that the new information being reviewed by the FBI “might be totally benign & not even involve Clinton. But no way for press or voters to know that. Easy for opponent to make hay over.”
.
Comey is breaking with long standing tradition here.  It seems obvious that the motivation is political.  There needs to be an investigation into Comey, and this is the first step to make it happen. 

GOP Scandal Falls Apart As New Emails Didn’t Come From Hillary Clinton’s Server

The new Clinton email scandal keeps getting worse for Republicans as new information is emerging that the emails the FBI is looking at were not on her server.
GOP Scandal Falls Apart As New Emails Didn’t Come From Hillary Clinton’s Server
The new Clinton email scandal keeps getting worse for Republicans as new information is emerging that the emails the FBI is looking at were not on her server.
The AP is reporting:
BREAKING: US official: Newly discovered emails related to Clinton investigation did not come from her private server.
From previous reporting, it is known that the emails have nothing to do with Clinton, her campaign, the Clinton Foundation, the Russian hacks, the State Department, and any emails she sent or received. Now, we know that the emails were not on her server. FBI Director Comey completely bungled this announcement, and he needs to explain what the FBI is analyzing, because it doesn’t sound like it has anything to do with Hillary Clinton.
The email scandal that Republicans thought would save them has evaporated nearly as quickly as it arrived. With each new development, it is clear that there is much less to the story than initially reported.
If the Republican Party wants to risk losing, even more House and Senate seats in 11 days by pursuing this non-story, they should feel free to have at it.
Any time that Republicans spend talking about Clinton’s emails over the next 11 days will only help the Democratic Party.