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Showing posts with label Bahamas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bahamas. Show all posts

06 September 2019

Trump Personally Altered Map to Promote False Hurricane Threat to Alabama & Trump’s insistence that his incorrect Alabama tweet was correct tips into the Orwellian 6SEP19

Astronaut Luca Parmitano of the European Space Agency captured this photo of the Category 5 Hurricane Dorian from the International Space Station as the storm moved across the Atlantic Ocean toward the Bahamas.
WHILE tens of thousands of Bahamians are struggling to survive in the aftermath of Hurricane Dorian and thousands are missing and feared dead (NOT MY) pres drumpf/trump continues his insane childish rants attacking the media for reporting on his amateurish alterations of a National Weather Service map so that Alabama would be in the possible path of Dorian. All because drumpf/trump can not be wrong, can not make a mistake. He is a sad, pathetic sociopath ( noun a person with a personality disorder manifesting itself in extreme antisocial attitudes and behavior and a lack of conscience. ), a compulsive liar, a disgrace to our country, a SUPERCALLOUSFRAGILRACISTSEXISTNAZIPOTUS. From DemocracyNow! and the Washington Post.....

Trump Personally Altered Map to Promote False Hurricane Threat to Alabama

HEADLINESEP 06, 2019
H2 trump black marker sharpie map hurricane dorian alabama
As Bahamians reel from the historic devastation of Hurricane Dorian, The Washington Post reported that President Trump personally used a black magic marker to alter a map showing the storm’s projected path, in an effort to support his false claim last weekend that Alabama might be hit by the hurricane. In fact, the National Hurricane Center never included Alabama in any of the forecast cones for Dorian. On Thursday, Trump spent a fourth straight day defending his false statements, tweeting, “I accept the Fake News apologies.”

“In the end the Party would announce that two and two made five, and you would have to believe it. It was inevitable that they should make that claim sooner or later: the logic of their position demanded it. Not merely the validity of experience, but the very existence of external reality was tacitly denied by their philosophy. The heresy of heresies was common sense.” - George Orwell, 1984
The tweet below was incorrect.
It was not dramatically incorrect nor was it entirely incorrect. But it was significantly incorrect, in that it suggested a threat to the state of Alabama that didn’t exist at the time it was written.
The National Weather Service was quick to point that out in a tweet that followed President Trump’s, without identifying him directly. But it was important information to correct: The threat of a hurricane leads to fear — sometimes panic — given the threat to life and property that’s implied. Trump’s tweet claimed Alabama (and other states) would be hit harder than anticipated, even though, at the time he sent the tweet, Hurricane Dorian had already shifted northward, as the then-most-recent projected path of the storm indicated.

(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
Alabama, in fact, was going to be hit (much) less hard than it seemed a few days prior. While some early projections of where the storm was headed had it sweeping into Florida and, perhaps, pressing forward into the Gulf of Mexico where Alabama might be at risk, by Sunday morning, when Trump tweeted, Alabama wasn’t even at risk of experiencing tropical-storm-force winds.

(NOAA)
During a briefing at Federal Emergency Management Agency headquarters a few hours after he tweeted, Trump nonetheless insisted that Alabama was, indeed, at risk.
Dorian, he claimed, “may get a little piece of a great place: It’s called Alabama. And Alabama could even be in for at least some very strong winds and something more than that, it could be. This just came up, unfortunately. It’s the size of — the storm that we’re talking about. So, for Alabama, just please be careful also.”
Twenty-four hours later, a projection from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration posited that there was a 1-in-20 chance that a small sliver of southeastern Alabama, possibly including the city of Dothan (population: 68,000) would see winds exceeding 39 mph — enough to break twigs off trees and not much more.

(NOAA)
Even that small possibility wasn’t indicated in NOAA’s projections on Sunday morning and, by Tuesday morning, it had passed.
Another storm had brewed, though. Trump, incensed at criticism of his incorrect inclusion of Alabama by Jonathan Karl of ABC News, insisted in a tweet on Monday — after returning to the White House from playing golf at his club in Virginia — that “under certain original scenarios, it was in fact correct that Alabama could have received some ‘hurt.’ ” That’s true, but beside the point. Under some original projections, myriad states could have “received hurt”; it’s the nature of hurricane forecasting that early projections are refined to be more accurate over time.
Here, for example, is one early projection, showing that the path of the storm would likely hit northern Florida before curling up to the northeast — basically what happened. Some models, though, showed other paths, heading as far west as Texas or Louisiana or making landfall as far east as North Carolina.

(South Florida Water Management District)
That graphic displays possibilities and isn’t what officials act on. As the graphic itself indicates, it is superseded by updates from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) — the updates shown in the graphics above.
The line-covered map above, though, has become central to Trump’s ongoing insistence that his original tweet mentioning Alabama wasn’t wrong at all. He tweeted that map on Wednesday evening and again on Thursday morning, a response to criticism of his having shared a doctored map of Dorian’s projected path with impacts to Alabama drawn in with black marker.
He paired the Thursday morning map with a refined explanation for why he was correct all along.
“In the early days of the hurricane, when it was predicted that Dorian would go through Miami or West Palm Beach, even before it reached the Bahamas, certain models strongly suggested that Alabama & Georgia would be hit as it made its way through Florida & to the Gulf,” he wrote. “Instead it turned North and went up the coast, where it continues now. In the one model through Florida, the Great State of Alabama would have been hit or grazed. In the path it took, no. Read my FULL FEMA statement. What I said was accurate! All Fake News in order to demean!”
He followed that up a few hours later with another tweet making a similar claim.
What Trump is doing is conflating the idea with Alabama having potentially been at risk at one point with Alabama having been at risk when he tweeted about it. His tweet came shortly before 11 a.m. on Sunday morning and his comments at FEMA came two hours later. At 11 a.m., here was the wind risk posed to Alabama, according to NOAA.

(NOAA)
It seems likely that Trump’s FEMA comments were tailored to address his by-then-already-disproved tweet about Alabama. Maybe it wouldn’t be hit hard, but “Alabama could even be in for at least some very strong winds and something more than that" — a development that “just came up” at that point, according to Trump’s full FEMA statement. That is itself, of course, at odds with Trump’s claims that the important factor was modeling from days earlier. (The line-covered map is dated Aug. 28.)
All of this has been fairly well established by now. Trump’s tweet was dismissed as inaccurate by his own National Weather Service’s station in Alabama within a half-hour of his sending it out. Again, it was an important correction to make: Alabamians were incorrectly informed by the president that their state was at risk, and it’s the responsibility of those in positions of authority to quell such unwarranted concerns.
That refutation came four days ago — but here we are, still litigating it.
For Trump, this is a fight worth having because it does two things. It pits the media as oppositional by looping criticism of his initial inaccuracy and his flawed defenses as attacks on him and, by extension, on his supporters. It is also an example of Trump’s unwavering unwillingness to admit mistakes, a central component of his personal survival strategy.
Denying even minor mistakes preserves the possibility that there might be a shred of accuracy in what he’s saying and, therefore, that he’s right and his opponents are wrong. We’ve seen multiple examples of Trump and his supporters dragging goal posts around to prove him right, from his claim that he saw Muslims in New Jersey on 9/11 to his assertions about Trump Tower being wiretapped to the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election. In each case, the initial claims evolved or eroded until they reached a point where Trump could be granted a willing suspension of disbelief by those interested in doing so. “What Trump really meant was” could be his presidency’s motto.
In this case, Trump has evolved his explanation from “Alabama will be hit harder than expected” to “modeling at one point included a possible risk to Alabama and also there might have been possible wind damage to the state at some point.” His supporters are active on social media sharing decontextualized maps of Dorian in which unidentified bars of color overlap however narrowly with the state, “proof” that Trump was “right,” because maybe at some point there might have been some threat to the state and, therefore, the fake news is wrong and biased and deserves nothing but the worst.
On Trump’s second day in office, then-press secretary Sean Spicer came to the press room at the White House to tell the press pool that its assessments of attendance at Trump’s inauguration were incorrect and that, in fact, attendance was record-breaking. Spicer’s efforts to prove Trump’s braggadocio about the event were laughable — and, in fact, remain a joke that hovers over Spicer’s post-White House career.
But the motivation for Spicer’s arguments isn’t funny. It is rooted in Trump’s insistence that his truth is the prevailing truth, however narrowly it has to be constrained. Objective facts, like the threat posed by Dorian, must be trimmed or expanded until they meet what Trump has claimed is correct.
Two and two equals five, unless you listen to the lamestream media.
“The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.” - Orwell, 1984

DEMOCRACY NOW! DAILY DIGEST "Staggering" Death Toll Feared in Bahamas as Thousands Remain Missing After Hurricane Dorian 6SEP19

Democracy Now! Daily Digest

A Daily Independent Global News Hour with Amy Goodman & Juan González

Friday, September 6, 2019

Stories

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Hurricane Dorian hit the Bahamas as a Category 5 storm over the weekend, lingering for days and leaving nearly unimaginable destruction in its path. The airport ... Read More →
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10 September 2017

Hurricane Irma Sucked The Ocean Away From Beaches In The Bahamas 9SEP17



Hurricane Irma, you have been horrifying and amazing amazing, and who knew something like this was even possible? God be with the people of the Caribbean who have already suffered Hurricane Irma's wrath and the people of Florida being hit now. This from HuffPost......

OMG!!! LONG ISLAND BAHAMAS DEVASTATION AFTERMATH - OCEAN WATER GONE MISSING - 

HURRICANE IRMA 2017

Hurricane Irma is so powerful, it sucked the ocean away from beaches in the Bahamas on Friday.

This natural phenomenon occurs after extremely powerful storms.

Twitter user @Piznack, one of multiple people to share videos of the strange scene, tweeted: “Y’all my family in the Bahamas said Irma sucked up all the water. There’s literally no water. The beach and ocean are gone.”
He tweeted a follow-up video that showed how the water had retreated at a beach in Long Island, Bahamas.
Angela Fritz, The Washington Post’s deputy weather editor, confirmed this phenomenon is real and may occur during extremely powerful hurricanes such as Irma. The storm is so powerful, it can essentially change the shape of the ocean, Fritz said.
“Basically, Hurricane Irma is so strong and its pressure is so low, it’s sucking water from its surroundings into the core of the storm,” Fritz wrote.
“In the center of the storm, where there is extreme low pressure, water is drawn upward. Low pressure is basically a sucking mechanism — it sucks the air into it, and when it’s really low, it can change the shape of the surface of the ocean. As the storm draws water toward the center, it gets pulled away from the surroundings.”
Wayne Neely, a forecaster with the Bahamas’ Department of Meteorology, warned residents of Long Island and Exuma, where water had also reportedly receded from the beaches, to be careful as the ocean returned back to high levels.
“Care must be taken in this case because the water often returns with even greater fury,” Neely said in a Facebook post explaining the phenomenon.
Why was the water receding in Long Island and Exuma during Irma? Now about the water receding....that has happened before in acklins in 1936 and this by the way is not a normal phenomena but has happened several times before but it is due to the hurricane. What happened in this case was that the low pressure of the hurricane pushed down on the water in the eye and eye wall of the hurricane which is a low pressure system at at the center of the storm which gives you the high l...
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People who had seen the water recede in the Bahamas on Friday said the water returned the next day.                                                                                         Irma ripped through the Caribbean Sea and parts of the Atlantic Ocean earlier this week. It is expected to make landfall in Florida early Sunday morning. So far, the storm has killed at least 22 people and displaced thousands more.
Below are more images of the ocean disappearing from beaches in the Bahamas as far as the horizon.