NORTON META TAG

08 February 2013

UPDATE: Defense Contractors’ Profits Can Weather Military Budget Cuts 13AUG12 & Amid dire predictions, Sen. Mark Warner says defense industry shares blame for sequester 8FEB13

AS it seems we are going to actually experience sequestration, thanks to gop / tea-bagger obstructionism, the military-industrial complex's propaganda campaign is approaching hysteria, and the pentagon is throwing fuel on the fire by calling ships back to port, delaying their deployments, and warning that hundreds of thousands civilian military employees will be furloughed. Note they have not called for reductions in unnecessary weapons systems or cuts  defense contracts or endorsed the calls for excess profits taxes on defense contractors. Once Chuck Hagel is confirmed as Sec of Defense I think things are going to change, and this time those serving in the US Military and not the defense contractors will benefit. Check out my earlier post Excess-profits tax on defense contractors during wartime is long overdue 31DEZ12 http://bucknacktssordidtawdryblog.blogspot.com/2013/01/excess-profits-tax-on-defense.html
and this from ThinkProgress.....UPDATE! Sen Mark Warner D VA actually called out the military-industrial complex and actually accused them of being responsible for the sequester mess too! From the Washington Post.....

By Lawrence J. Korb, Robert Ward, and Alex Rothman
With sequestration set to happen in early 2013 if Congress fails to make a deal on deficit reduction, the defense industry has mobilized in a major way to stop the cuts to the Pentagon budget. The main thrust of the offensive has been a huge public relations campaign aimed at convincing Americans that the cuts would devastate defense contractors and the broader economy, causing the loss of about a million jobs. To be fair, the cuts that would be made under sequestration are far from trivial. But, when viewed in their proper historical context, they start to look much less threatening –- and the largest contractors appear to be well positioned to weather them.
The last ten years have seen massive growth in defense industry profits. In 2002, the combined profits of the five largest U.S.-based defense contractors were $2.4 billion (adjusted for inflation); by 2011, that figure had increased by a whopping 450 percent to $13.4 billion (according to net Income TTM data from ycharts.com for five largest U.S.-based defense contractors). This success applied both to companies with large civilian sections of their businesses and to those almost wholly dependent on defense funding. In short, the largest defense contractors have prospered to a degree that would have looked very unlikely just eleven or twelve years ago.
Unsurprisingly, this growth in profits has been fueled in part by massive increases in the U.S. defense spending. In the decade since 9/11, the total Department of Defense budget (PDF) increased by about 55 percent in real terms, from $460 billion in FY 2002 to $715 billion in FY 2011. And the portions of the budget most relevant to military contractors -– the money allocated to procurement and to Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation –- kept pace, growing 55 percent from $139 billion in 2002 to $216 billion in 2011.
The defense industry has continued to enjoy this prosperity during a recession that has had a devastating effect on both businesses and families across the country. For example, median household income, a broad indicator of economic prosperity, was hit hard by the recession, with more than a decade of growth being wiped out between late 2007 and 2011. Defense profits dipped slightly at the recession’s start, but unlike household income, they rapidly recovered, rising over 40% between 2008 and 2011 and nearly returning to their 2007 peak.
In other words: after ten years of exponential growth in profits, defense contractors are much better positioned to weather prospective budget cuts than they claim to be. And they are certainly in a better position to deal with the cuts than the millions of hardworking American families who would be impacted by domestic sequestration and its cuts to health care, education, child care, food stamps, and other programs.
This does not mean that defense sequestration is a good policy: the automatic, over-broad, and sudden cuts that it mandates are not a smart way to reduce defense spending. But against this historical backdrop, apocalyptic claims like those of House Armed Services Committee Chairman Buck McKeon, who has argued that sequestration would “cripple our economy and our defenses in a single blow,” look painfully exaggerated. Defense contractors seem to be in a good position to withstand the coming cuts, whether they come through sequestration or a Congressional deficit-reduction deal like that recommended by the Simpson-Bowles Commission. The defense industry can and should absorb its fair share of the spending reductions that will be necessary for this nation to get its fiscal house in order.
http://thinkprogress.org/security/2012/08/13/680481/defense-contractors-profits-cuts/

Amid dire predictions, Sen. Mark Warner says defense industry shares blame for sequester

By  and 

As the Obama administration rolled out a fresh round of dire warnings about the impact of looming budget cuts, Sen. Mark R. Warner delivered a message of his own Friday to the defense industry: This is your fault, too.
The threat of automatic reductions to defense and domestic spending on March 1, known as the “sequester,” has prompted Democrats and Republicans to trade blame for the impasse.
At a Northern Virginia Technology Council breakfast in Reston with Warner and Sen. Timothy M. Kaine, the audience of local business executives let both Virginia Democrats know how concerned they were about the cuts and the ripple effect they would have.
But when Cord Sterling, a vice president at the Aerospace Industries Association, asked why it’s taken so long for Congress to get serious on the subject, Warner turned the tables.
Acknowledging that Congress had “muffed this thing” by not striking a bipartisan deficit-reduction deal, Warner said the defense and technology industries share some responsibility.
“Yeah, we ought to get 80, 90, whatever percent of the blame,” Warner said. “But you ought to take some of the blame, too. Because every time there’s been efforts to try to build a broader coalition, to say let’s go ahead and take this on and get out of our individual political foxholes and get out of our individual industry foxholes, most of y’all have said, ‘Well, I don’t want to piss off this guy or that guy or this chairman or that chairman.’ ”
Warner complained that many in the defense and technology communities had failed to support the Campaign to Fix the Debt, a nonpartisan group seeking to mobilize support for a debt deal.
When chief executives of many Fortune 500 companies came together to back the group, Warner said, “the thing that just blows my mind . . . the industry that was most absent from that list was the defense industry. . . . It would have been great if you’d been in the fight in more than an ‘attaboy’ way over the last couple of years.”
Sterling said he was “very surprised” by Warner’s remarks, as his group recognizes that defense spending needs to be part of the broader deficit-reduction solution.Sterling said he thought at least seven chief executives who belong to his group had signed on to the Campaign to Fix the Debt effort.
“To say that we are not participating in it, I would say the facts do not agree with the statement that he made,” Sterling said.
Warner’s remarks came as the White House offered new details about the sequester, which could push 70,000 children out of Head Start, eliminate 2,100 food inspections, yank research grants out of the hands of 12,000 scientists and students, and jeopardize the jobs of 1,000 federal law enforcement officials.
The sequester will require cuts equal to roughly 9 percent for domestic programs for the remainder of the fiscal year and roughly 13 percent for defense programs — “large and arbitrary cuts [that] will have severe impacts across government,” according to Danny Werfel, federal controller at the White House Office of Management and Budget.
In a briefing for reporters, Werfel and other administration officials also offered some nuggets of information about how the sequester might be implemented. Under the law, Werfel said, agency spending must be reduced by $85 billion by the end of the fiscal year on Sept. 30. And each agency will have to determine how to execute that reduction.
“In some cases, you’ll see immediate impacts. And in some cases, agencies will work out those changes to their programs and their structures over time,” Werfel said. “There’s no easy answer to say what the world is going to look like on March 2nd.”We just know that these impacts — while not all of them immediate — if we don’t take action, they will take place.”
Moreover, the sequester requires agencies to cut every account, subaccount, program, project and activity equally, which makes it difficult to avoid cuts to critical services.
“So, for example, FAA, they have to cut resources in a way that’s going to impact the air traffic controller workforce. There’s no way to basically say, well, we’ll move — we’ll try to take all the cuts in this area, like maintenance or custodial work,” Werfel said. “It’s not possible to do that.”
One thing that is clear is that agencies have yet to issue furlough notices, which means federal workers would not be sent home immediately if the sequester hits. Typically, Werfel said, agencies give workers 30 days notice before implementing a furlough.
Ultimately, however, hundreds of thousands of workers are likely to be affected, he said: “If we go past this date, there’s certainly — there’s no way to implement the sequester without significant furloughs of hundreds of thousands of federal employees.”

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