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Showing posts with label 2016 Super Tuesday. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016 Super Tuesday. Show all posts

04 March 2016

Related content from the Guardian & After Super Tuesday Losses, Bernie Sanders Is in a Whole Lot of Trouble &What Will Many Bernie Sanders Voters Do After July? 03/04/2016 02:02 pm ET 1&4MAR16

2016 Democratic National Convention
+Mother Jones is known for it's bold, fearless, investigative journalism, at least most of the time. I appreciate (though don't always agree with what they report) what they do so much that I have been a monthly donor to Mother Jones for years. This is one of the times I do not agree with their slant in their reporting. There seems to be a bias in favor of hillary clinton vs Sen Bernie Sanders I VT. Generally if their reporting on Bernie isn't negative and disparaging it is condescending. It almost seems they are endorsing the status quo, the control of the American political system controlled by corporate interest, the bank financial-cabal, the military-industrial complex, the 1%. This article from Mother Jones is basically a notice to Bernie Sanders and his supporters to give it up. It is not true the Democratic primary process is over. Maybe hillary clinton will be the Democratic nominee. If that is the case the vast majority of Bernie's supporters will support her campaign. But until the Democratic convention is over we will not give up on Bernie, his campaign, nor will we give up our chance to shape the ultimate candidates' campaign platform. We will insist corporate welfare be ended, the bank-financial cabal be broken up and strictly regulated, the military-industrial complex loose the obscene share of the federal budget they receive and the taxes of the 1% be increased. We will insist Social Security benefits be increased and expanded, that the ceiling on Social Security taxes be raised significantly, that the ACA / Obamacare be protected, that the government  protect our right to clean air and clean water and that the American social contract and the American social safety net and fully funded so that the needs of all Americans, individuals and business, can be met. Here is a list of articles on Bernie Sanders' campaign from +The Guardian followed by the articles from Mother Jones and +The Huffington Post ....


Now what?

| Tue Mar. 1, 2016 11:52 PM EST
For months, Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign has counted on a big performance on Super Tuesday, when delegates were up for grabs in 11 nominating contests. After it racked up a big win in New Hampshire and came away with virtual ties in Iowa and Nevada—and lost disastrously in South Carolina—the senator from Vermont was quick to point out that on March 1, voters "will pick 10 times more pledged delegates on one day than were selected in the four early states so far in this campaign." And on March 1, his campaign got shellacked.
In five Southern states, where African American voters made up a large portion of the electorate, Hillary Clinton left Sanders in the dust. Three days after conceding the South Carolina primary by 48 points, he lost by overwhelming margins in Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, Virginia, and Arkansas. In Texas, where the majority of Democrats are nonwhite and 252 delegates were at stake, he lost by more than 30 points. Sanders banked heavily on strong performances in Massachusetts, Minnesota, Colorado, and Oklahoma, and he was counting on winning at least three of them. (He'd left South Carolina behind last week to campaign with Iron Range workers in Bob Dylan's hometown of Hibbing, Minnesota.) He did win three, along with his home state of Vermont, where just 26 delegates were at stake. But a loss in Massachusetts was a setback, and the enormous margins down South set him way back in the delegate count.
Tuesday's results put Sanders in a difficult position as the campaign shifts into high gear this month, because they challenge the underlying theory of how he can win. The premise of his underdog campaign was that he could score a few early victories and build momentum for states down the road. Once voters in those states saw he was the real deal, the thinking went, they'd give his candidacy a second look. Those early victories were essential to expanding his coalition and, to a lesser degree, to convincing at-large superdelegates to join his side. To put it bluntly: If Sanders can't win a white liberal state like Massachusetts, there aren't too many other states he can.
Things will get worse for Sanders before they get better. Because of the way the primary map is drawn, Clinton's best states—basically, Southern states with high African American populations—will all have voted by the middle of March. After Kansas, Nebraska, and Louisiana vote on Saturday (where the prospects are good, good, and very bad for Sanders, respectively), he'll hit a brutal two-week stretch in which 980 delegates will be awarded in Maine, Michigan, Mississippi, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio. Clinton is the clear favorite in almost all of those states.
But while Tuesday's performance might usher in the chorus of Clinton allies calling on him to drop out (as if they needed the excuse), Sanders' campaign manager, Jeff Weaver, pledged that the campaign would push on to the convention. And he has the means to fight on if he wants. Money, the perennial candidate killer, is not an issue—at least not for now. Sanders raised an absurd $42 million in February—$6 million of it on the Monday after the South Carolina blowout. Because he relies so heavily on small-dollar donors who haven't hit the $2,700 limit, he can in theory keep circling back for more money to buy ads and build organizations in every state that comes up. And if he can roll with the punches, he just might make it to the sweet spot of the schedule, a four-week, 15-state stretch that represents his last best shot to turn things around, starting with Idaho, Utah, and Arizona on March 22. If he can't reel off a winning streak then, it'll be over quick.
Sanders seems determined to push forward, but he has given little indication he'll try to replicate the kind of scorched-earth approach his opponent employed against Sen. Barack Obama eight years ago, or that the Republican field is currently employing against Donald Trump. He's not running again in four years, when he'll be 78; he's not angling for a spot on the ticket; and he's made clear he plans to support whomever the Democrats nominate.
Moments after he lost in South Carolina last Saturday, his campaign blasted out yet another fundraising email, this time with a message from the candidate. "When I first decided to run for president," he wrote, "my greatest fear was that if I were to run a poor campaign or did not do well, that it would be a setback not just for me, but for the ideas driving our campaign." It was a glossier version of what he'd told a reporter last March, months before he ever entered the race—that "if I do it, it has to be done well, and that's not just for my ego." He's done all of that and accomplished a great deal, but the math is looking pretty grim.
The hard-bitten, corporatist Democrats are moving Hillary Clinton through the presidential primaries. They are using "Republican-speak" to beat down Bernie Sanders as favoring Big Government and more taxes and they may unwittingly be setting the stage for a serious split in the Democratic Party.
What is emerging is the reaction of millions of Sanders supporters who will feel repudiated, not just left behind, as the Clintonites plan to celebrate at the Democratic Convention in July. The political experience gained by the Sanders workers, many of them young, helped Sanders register primary victories over Hillary in Colorado, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Vermont and New Hampshire with their energy and votes. They came close in Nevada and Massachusetts and probably won in Iowa.
Hillary's rhetoric has outraged Sanders' supporters. She berates Sanders regularly for not being practical or realistic about his Medicare-for-all, breaking up big banks, a $15 minimum wage, a tax on Wall Street speculation and carbon and getting big money out of politics. Clinton's putdowns exemplify why so many people who back Sanders want to defeat her. Clinton is the candidate of the status quo, favored over all other candidates from both parties by the Wall Street crowd and quietly adored by the military-industrial complex who see Generalissima Clinton as a militarist who would maintain the warfare state.
Democrat Robert Reich, former Secretary of Labor under Bill Clinton, derided this "We Shouldn't Even Try" attitude common among many frightened Democrats. These are, in Reich's words, "the establishment Democrats - Washington lobbyists, editorial writers, inside-the-Beltway operatives, party leaders and big contributors who have grown comfortable with the way things are." These hereditary Democrat opinion-shapers tell their audiences that Hillary personifies experience and electability. They argue it is either Clinton or Trump or some other crazed Republican.
Here we go again. Every four years, the Democratic leaders define the Democratic candidate by how bad the Republicans are. This is designed to panic and mute their followers. Every four years, both parties become more corporatist. Sanders' voters want to define the Democratic Party by how good it can be for the people. And these Sanders voters may not go back into the Democratic Party fold.
Low turnout for the Democratic Party's primaries is being compared to a much higher Republican voter turnout for their candidates. Low turnout in November would dim Hillary's chances in an electoral college, winner-take-all system.
Such Democratic Party misfortune can become more likely should Bernie endorse Hillary at the Democratic Convention without any conditions or her acceptance of his agenda, assuming she is the nominee. Last year he declared that he would endorse "the Democratic nominee." Certainly, all the Democratic politicos in the Congress who endorsed Hillary set no conditions. The large labor unions that went with Hillary are known for giving their endorsements without receiving any benefits for workers. So, Hillary would have no mandate should she win the election. And you know that Clintons without mandates tend to bend toward Wall Street and rampant militarism.
It is doubtful whether Hillary will credibly adopt any of Bernie's agenda, considering where her campaign money is coming from and how unwilling she is to alienate her circle of advisers.
Where does this leave the Sanders people who see Hillary as experienced in waging wars, qualified as an entrenched pol, and realistic to suit the plutocracy's tastes, and not really getting much of anything progressive done (alluding to the ways she has described herself)?
The energetic Sanders supporters, including the Millennials who voted so heavily for Bernie, could form a New Progressive movement to exercise a policy pull on the establishment Democrats before November and to be a growing magnet after November with the objective of taking over the Democratic Party starting with winning local elections. This will have long-term benefits for our country.
To those who point to history throwing water on such a potential breakout, I tell them to look at the 2016 presidential primaries. All bets are off when political debates become big media business with huge ratings, and when a gambling czar and builder of expensive real estate, Donald Trump (a hybrid Rep/Dem), is overturning all the old homilies about presidential politics, and is in a primary contest with two freshmen Senators whose vacuous ambitions are their only achievements.

02 March 2016

Super Tuesday Results & Super Tuesday: How It Happened State By State 2MAR16


JUST THE FACTS of how Super Tuesday turned out for the candidates, from  the +NewYorkTimes and +NPR ......

Super Tuesday Results

MARCH 2, 2016, 10:04 PM ET
RepublicansAla.50 del.Alaska28Ark.40Ga.76Mass.42Minn.38Okla.43Tenn.58Tex.155Vt.16Va.49DelegatesMarch 1Total
 Donald J. Trump
 43%34% 33% 39% 49%21%28% 39%27% 33% 35%237319
 Ted Cruz
21 3631241029 3425 441017209226
 Marco Rubio
1915252418 37262118193294110
 John Kasich
44461864543091925
 Ben Carson
101166376844638
Reporting100%1009910099961001001001001001,237 to win
 Lead
 
 Win
DemocratsAla.60 del.Ark.37Colo.79Ga.116Mass.116Minn.93Okla.42Tenn.76Tex.252Vt.26Va.110DelegatesMarch 1Total
 Hillary Clinton
 78% 66%40% 71% 50%38%42% 66% 65%14% 64%5041,052
 Bernie Sanders
1930 592849 62 523233 8635340427
Reporting100%999910099901001001001001002,383 to win
 Lead
 
 Win

Source: Election results from The Associated Press

Super Tuesday was a big night for both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. They each captured seven states in their respective Democratic and Republican races, extending leads over their remaining rivals.
But as we pointed out earlier, delegates were the name of the game on Tuesday, and each candidate's margin of victory mattered. NPR's Delegate Tracker has the full recap of what we know so far about how delegates have been allocated, according to estimates from The Associated Press.
Here's a quick snapshot of how the races in each state broke down:

Texas

The Lone Star State was the big prize of the night, and the bulk of its delegates will go to favorite son Ted Cruz. With 99 percent of the vote reporting, the state's junior senator notched an important 17-point win over Trump, and so far Cruz is projected to get 57 of the state's delegates while Trump gets 20.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio missed out on getting any delegates because he fell just short of the 20-percent threshold in the state, getting only 18 percent in the GOP primary.
Clinton beat Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders 2-to-1 in Texas, and picks up 122 delegates to his 48.

Georgia

The Peach State had the next-largest number of delegates up for grabs, and Trump got an important — and impressive — victory here, too. With 99 percent reporting, he took 39 percent of the GOP primary vote; Cruz and Rubio received 25 and 24 percent. Delegates are awarded proportionally and based on congressional district, and Trump is on pace to get 36 delegates, while Cruz takes 14 and Rubio gets 11.
Clinton got a big victory in Georgia, too, again fueled by support from African-Americans. According to exit polls, just over half of the electorate were black voters, and she won them by a 71-point margin.

Tennessee

Late support from Gov. Bill Haslam and Sen. Lamar Alexander wasn't enough to boost Rubio in the Volunteer State, or even help him be the runner-up to Trump. With 99 percent of the vote reporting, the real estate mogul took 39 percent in the state, while Cruz got 25 percent and Rubio took 21 percent. That breakdown gives Trump a whopping 30 delegates, while Cruz takes 12 and Rubio netted just two.
This was another state with a high evangelical constituency. According to exit polls, more than three-quarters of voters identified themselves as born-again Christians. And Trump carried 41 percent of those voters, a 14-point edge over Cruz, denying him a win with religious voters that should have been his base.
Clinton also cruised to a decisive win over Sanders here, with more than double his support with a 66 percent to 32 percent victory. That should give her 40 delegates to Sanders' 22.

Alabama

This was Trump's best state in the South. With all votes reporting, he won the Heart of Dixie with 43 percent; Cruz took 21 percent and Rubio got 19 percent. Such a decisive loss is a blow to Cruz, though — another state with significant evangelical turnout (77 percent according to exit polls) that he lost to Trump by a stunning 22-point margin.
Such a big victory helped Trump almost sweep the state's delegates; he's expected to get 28 delegates while Cruz gets just two.
Clinton had her biggest victory of the night in the state, besting Sanders 79 percent to 19 percent. Again, that was fueled by black voters, who made up 59 percent of the Democratic electorate. She carried 93 percent of black voters, compared to 5 percent that broke for Sanders. That huge win gives her 37 delegates to Sanders' four.

Virginia

Early on in the night, it looked like Florida Sen. Marco Rubio might pull an upset in the Old Dominion. He racked up big margins in the affluent, well-educated D.C. suburbs that lean more moderate. According to exit polls, he trumped Trump there 42 percent to 24 percent.
But he couldn't catch Trump's advantage in other parts of the commonwealth. The GOP front-runner carried the state's more rural areas and even edged past Rubio in the Richmond suburbs and the D.C. exurbs. With 99 percent of the vote reporting, Trump won 35 percent to Rubio's 32 percent.
Delegate breakdowns mean they fought almost to a draw though; Trump is expected to get 17 delegates with 16 for Rubio, eight for Cruz and five for Kasich. Neurosurgeon Ben Carson picked up his only delegates of the night, netting three after getting 6 percent of the primary vote.
Virginia was another Southern state where Clinton won big, beating Sanders 64 percent to 35 percent, with all votes reporting. That should give Clinton 61 more delegates while Sanders takes 32.

Arkansas

Some observers thought Cruz might sneak a win in the Natural State, but with 96 percent of the vote reporting, Trump narrowly edged him out, 33 percent to 31 percent, while Rubio took a quarter of the vote. Exit polls showed 77 percent of the GOP electorate described themselves as evangelicals, and Trump and Cruz split those voters with 33 percent apiece. But Trump had the edge among non-evangelical voters, helping him eke out the win. He's on pace to get 13 delegates, while Cruz and Rubio will get nine and six, respectively.
Clinton won decisively in the state where she was once first lady and which launched her and her husband's political careers. She bested Sanders 66 percent to 30 percent, and took 18 delegates while Sanders got seven.

Massachusetts

The Bay State gave Trump, another northeastern Republican, his biggest win of the night. With 97 percent of the vote reporting, he took 49 percent of the vote while the rest of his competitors were mired in the teens. That big win gave him 22 more delegates. Kasich and Rubio netted eight apiece, while Cruz notched four.
The state was the closest of the night for Clinton and Sanders and was the last Democratic contest to be called by The Associated Press. Clinton was edging out Sanders by fewer than 400 votes with just over 97 percent of precincts reporting. She'll get 45 delegates to Sanders' 43, but when you add in pledged superdelegates, Clinton will net 61 total delegates.

Oklahoma

Cruz pulled out a surprise victory in the Sooner State, beating Trump by six points, 34 percent to 28 percent. Rubio came in third with 26 percent, despite his campaign telegraphing early Tuesday that it felt good about the state. All votes have been reported.
This was a state where evangelical voters did propel Cruz to victory. With three-quarters of the GOP electorate identifying as born-again Christians, Cruz won 39 percent of those voters, compared to 26 percent for Rubio and 25 percent for Trump, according to exit polls. That gave Cruz 14 delegates, while Trump netted 12 and Rubio got 11.
Sanders also notched an important win in Oklahoma, besting Clinton by 10 points in the state, 52 percent to 42 percent. The electorate in the state was much more homogeneous than Southern states, with white voters making up just under three-quarters of the electorate. Sanders won white voters by 20 points, while Clinton carried black voters — just 14 percent of the electorate — by 44 points. The Vermont senator will take away 20 delegates to Clinton's 16.

Minnesota

The Land of 10,000 Lakes gave Rubio his first win. With 92 percent of caucus results reporting, he took 37 percent, followed by Cruz at 29 percent and Trump at 21 percent, his only third-place finish of the night.
But that caucus win actually gives Rubio a draw with Cruz in Minnesota delegates — each will take away a dozen delegates, while Trump netted eight.
With 86 percent reporting, Sanders got a 24-point victory over Clinton in the Democratic caucuses. With superdelegates factored in, he will take away 42 delegates compared to her 24, according to AP estimates.

Colorado

With 98 percent of the vote reporting, Sanders comfortably carried the Centennial State's Democratic caucuses with a 19-point margin. The caucuses give him 33 delegates and Clinton 23, but she ties him when her 10 superdelegates are added in.
On the GOP side, there isn't a winner to report. Republicans were beginning their caucus process to pick delegates to county caucuses; there's no presidential preference poll, yet.

Vermont

Sanders rolled to a win in his home Green Mountain State. With 97 percent reporting, he beat Clinton by a whopping 72 points. He gets all of the state's 10 allocated delegates, along with three superdelegates; Clinton has four pledged superdelegates in the state.
The GOP contest ended up being one of the few nail-biters of the night. Kasich turned in a better-than-expected performance, but he couldn't overtake Trump, who won with 33 percent to Kasich's 30 percent. The two tied for delegates though, each banking six.

Alaska

Republican caucuses in the Last Frontier were the only contest in the nation's largest state, and they were won by the favored son of the nation's second-largest. With all votes reporting, Cruz had 36 percent of the vote to Trump's 33 percent and Rubio's 11 percent. The candidates picked up, respectively, 12, 11 and five delegates.