BUCKNACKT'S SORDID TAWDRY BLOG
We should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in an attractive & well preserved body, but rather to skid in sideways, chocolate, bier or wein in hand, body thoroughly used up, totally worn out and screaming "WHOO-HOO, WHAT A RIDE!!!!!!"
NORTON META TAG
28 January 2014
Washington Post Capital Weather Gang reviews our January Winter weather 28JAN14
OUR Winter in DC for Jan 2014. Yes Virginia, it gets cold and snows in Winter....
Computer models are converging on the idea of a cold front sweeping
any light rain or wintry mix through the region well before the game
gets underway. Maybe some gusts linger?
Models have shifted a little north with the major winter storm
affecting the South - far enough north that some snow flakes should fly
over much of the metro region tonight.
A frontal zone may help spawn a weak system in the lead up to the
game. We continue to expect that precipitation is out of the area --
with time to spare -- before kickoff.
The latest arctic outbreak penetrating deep into the southern U.S.
is setting the stage for a rare major winter storm from the Gulf Coast
to the southern Mid-Atlantic.
We actually break into the 30s tomorrow, before heading back into
the polar realm Monday night into Wednesday. The core of the cold brings
wind chills in the single digits to negative teens.
One week to go, and the forecast is more or less steady. A weak
system could bring a wintry mix in the lead-up, but skies want to start
clearing before game time.
Snow on the ground may get a little freshened today, as a clipper
passes by sending another Arctic front our way. Then a night of cold
winds, before Sunday's increased sunshine is offset by fresh northern
air.
A storm system appears to get out of the way before the Super Bowl
starts, but it may linger into the morning of. Otherwise, the forecast
has trended a little warmer.
A day closer to the big game, and the forecast hasn't changed much.
There's the slightest hint of snow chances, but no highly disruptive
event showing up.
Extreme cold is expected to dominate during the next week as
disturbances zip by to our north but drag down more arctic air in their
wake. Then the pattern may moderate, but turn more stormy.
Many fail in the struggle to reach 20 today, and the warmest news
we have to offer is a temporary flirtation with freezing. Old man winter
wants to make sure we know who is in charge!
A reinforcing shot of bitter cold air streams into the region
tonight, bringing a new round of subzero wind chills by morning.
Temperatures struggle to reach 20 on Friday.
In the spirit of giving Fairfax County Public Schools an
opportunity to offer its reasoning for closing today, I'm posting an
explanatory message from its Facebook page.
What's the weather going to be like before, after, and -- most
importantly -- during the Super Bowl? We're now into a period where we
can make some informed predictions.
Today's highs in the teens were the coldest they have ever been on
this date across the area. Single digits for most tonight, and only a
warm up to the 20s tomorrow.
Tuesday's storm was a slow starter, and not without some drama.
But, ultimately, our forecast for this event was a strong one, with an
exception here or there.
Today's brutal wind chills back off a bit by tomorrow, but we
remain extremely cold through Friday, with a few chances of flurries and
snow showers Thursday into the weekend.
Look for snow to start flying by mid-morning and get heavier during
the afternoon. By the time it tapers this evening, it's likely our
biggest snow in almost three years.
It was downright springlike today. But with Arctic air about to
bleed into the region, the stage is set for our biggest areawide snow
event in three years.
We can't yet say if it will be as intense as the cold around
January 7, but we have high confidence that once the cold arrives it
will stay for a lengthy time period.
Milder temperatures today turn cold again tomorrow. A few
moisture-starved systems are set to pass by as well before a bigger
chunk of Arctic air arrives on Tuesday.
The mighty Weather Channel, dumped by DirecTV after failed
contract negotiations, is facing an unexpected storm. How it withstands
it will go a long way in determining whether it remains the dominant
weather force in television.
In just a week's time, the percent of California in extreme drought
skyrocketed from 28 to 63 percent, as the state deals with one of its
driest stretches in recorded history.
Despite lots of clouds, light winds and highs mainly in the
mid-to-upper 40s made for a pleasant one. Some conversational
snowflakes fly tonight ahead of a seasonably chilled Thursday.
There's little reason to get excited about two or three
opportunities for snow this week which - collectively - are unlikely to
add much to the seasonal total.
Our warmest daytime high in three weeks was a nice change of pace
today. But the active weather pattern rolls on as the next system passes
by tonight and tomorrow.
Consider this list of recent weather names/terms that perhaps
you've heard mentioned at least one too many times. Vote for the one
you're completely over by now.
Capital Weather Gang's Jason Samenow sat down for a White
House-moderated chat to discuss the science of weather extremes and what
it means for D.C. residents.
Above-normal temperatures stick around through Tuesday, but with a
few showers possible early in the week. Wednesday is colder with a
chance of rain or snow.
Showers, maybe some thundershowers, tend to focus on the midday
into afternoon. It could be a mostly damp one. We get paid back by a
fairly nice end of the weekend into early next week.
Saturday temperatures take a big bounce up, but heavy downpours
limit the amount of available outdoor time. Sunday's the better of the
two days for outdoor plans.
Our warmer than normal period that starts tomorrow will probably be
short-lived as we transition back towards a below normal temperature
pattern sometime around January 15.
CWG's Jason Samenow is joining other meteorologists and climate
scientists in a live discussion on the polar vortex, extreme weather and
climate change.
For all of the pain brought about by our polar vortex experience,
at least the shining sheets of ice it formed on the Potomac offered a
visual spectacle.
The freezing rain threat targeting our a.m. commute should be our
last reminder of this arctic chill. We get even more wet on Saturday,
and oscillate from quite cool to kinda warm ahead.
We're transitioning to milder weather but we must first endure a
period of mixed precipitation early Friday, that may cause mischief for
the morning commute.
The D.C. snow drought is over for all intents and purposes, even
though last week's snow fell just short of 2" yet again. We captured
the sentimental streak breaker.
When what's left of the polar vortex air mass joins forces with a
warm front coming in from the south, some light freezing rain is
possible into Friday morning.
An rocket was launched from NASA's Wallops Island at 1:07 p.m.
today and was viewable for parts of the East Coast. Tonight, aurora may
be viewable in northern states.
Up, up, and away with the temperatures. Okay, not exactly the stuff of
Superman intensity but a nice move out of the cellar. The only real
issue is small chance of a light wintry mix early Friday.
Highs today were a little warmer than expected, yet still downright
frigid. Tonight features another run toward single digits, and a
warming trend begins on Wednesday.
The trickle of Arctic air of today turns truly brutal overnight.
Wind chills around -20 degrees are possible in parts of the area at
times, and we only make the teens for actual highs tomorrow!
The next 12 hours, in particular, are going to make for a wild
ride, with temperatures and wind chills dropping close to 30 degrees
from current levels
Tomorrow's arctic front brings the potential for a quick round of
snow showers, followed by dangerously frigid air that sends wind chills
down to below zero Monday night into Tuesday. Yikes!
When warm, moist air streaming in tonight combines with the cold
air near the ground, some light freezing rain may deposit a slick film
of ice across the region.
After starting of with some of the coldest temperatures in years
this morning, we end up with a fairly nice mid-winter day. Some freezing
drizzle and light freezing rain may spread north after midnight.
After a frigid night, Saturday is sunny, helping temps bounce back
to near freezing. By Sunday, we rise towards 40, but not before a
possible period of freezing rain.
The coldest air mass since at least 2009 blasts into the area
Monday. But, by late next week, there are signs the pattern will start
to change to a milder one.
Mid-winter Arctic air is here and it could be painful today and
then again next week. More seasonable air for our weekend may have some
precipitation along with?
Some of the coldest weather the Washington, D.C. metro region has
witnessed in recent years, and possibly decades, is set to arrive in two
punishing blasts
We're expecting a dusting to a couple inches of snow Thursday night
- but new data coming in tonight means possible changes. Our running
commentary on the new data...
A complex weather system marching into the Thursday night and the
cold in its wake will bring the D.C. area its most extreme combination
of winter weather of the season.
We have a risk of snow showers Thursday night, though impact should
be on the low side. The bigger deal is Friday, when wind chills may
have trouble breaking the single digits!
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