NORTON META TAG

04 April 2023

Opinion Asa Hutchinson can continue where Liz Cheney left off & The top 10 Republican presidential candidates for 2024, ranked 4APR&14JAN23



 OFF the top of my head I really can't think of anything Asa Hutchinson and I agree on EXCEPT the need for civil politics, the rule of law, sanctity of elections, human rights, a free press and simple decency. An Asa Hutchinson-Liz Cheney ticket would give the Democratic ticket a real run for their money, it will be some time before we find out if the republicans are smart enough to realize that, especially with the list of losers they have running for or considering running for president, especially Virginia's own hayseed youngkin, pompous mike pompeo and Backpfeifengesicht Sen ted cruz rff TX. These from the Washington Post.....

 Asa Hutchinson can continue where Liz Cheney left off

April 4, 2023 at 7:45 a.m. EDT

Opinion by 

Jennifer Rubin writes reported opinion for The Washington Post. She is the author of “Resistance: How Women Saved Democracy from Donald Trump.” Twitter

Former congresswoman Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) — the embodiment of courage, honesty and other virtues that MAGA Republicans have abandoned — has played an essential role as national truth-teller and conscientious objector in a party gone to war against democracy. Her role as vice chair of the House Jan. 6 select committee made her Enemy No. 1 in her party, almost certainly eliminating Cheney from realistic contention for president in the near future. However, a possible GOP successor has arrived on the scene.

Former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson will make a formal announcement for president soon, but in an interview with Jonathan Karl on ABC News’s “This Week,” which aired Sunday, Hutchinson announced, “I am going to be running.”

The reason he is running for president, Hutchinson said, is that he is “convinced that people want leaders that appeal to the best of America and not simply appeal to our worst instincts.” Hutchinson said he believes that his “message of experience, of consistent conservatism, of hope for our future and solving problems that face Americans” will resonate with voters.

The problem, as he no doubt is aware, might be that such a high-minded message does not yet resonate with a MAGA primary base still marinating in the toxic brew of right-wing media propaganda, conspiracy theories and white Christian nationalism.

Unlike other announced or likely contenders, Hutchinson does not offer himself as a vessel for Trumpism-without-Trump. Like Cheney, Hutchinson has denounced election denialwarned his party about threatening the FBI and slammed Republicans for abandoning Ukraine. And while Hutchinson stresses the need for border security, he urges Americans to be “compassionate and welcoming to legal immigration.” Also akin to Cheney, Hutchinson has not hesitated to denounce former president Donald Trump and his MAGA allies for white-nationalist associations.

In his opposition to Trump, Hutchinson shouldn’t be confused with liberal-minded Republicans such as former Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker. Hutchinson favored the overturning of Roe v. Wade. A former head of the Drug Enforcement Administration, he is a strong opponent of marijuana legalization. He served for a time as the face of the National Rifle Association and championed tax cuts. He endorsed Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders to succeed him as governor.

In other words, he’s a staunch conservative. But that is the point: Hutchinson (like Cheney) stands for the proposition that one can differ sharply with Democrats on policy while defending fundamental principles such as the rule of law, the sanctity of elections, human rights, a free press and simple decency.

Cheney warned her fellow Republicans, “There will come a day when President Trump is gone. But your dishonor will remain.” Hutchinson, honor intact, provides a model for a post-MAGA Republican Party, one not shackled to Trump or his mini-me imitators such as Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Hutchinson stands, so far, as the sole anti-Trump Republican in the 2024 field.

And yet, despite his conservative credentials, Hutchinson is not a reflexive ideologue. He cooperated with and praised President Biden’s response to the coronavirusextended support for broadband expansion funded by legislation known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and vetoed a bill banning gender-affirming medical care for transgender children because it would create “new standards of legislative interference with physicians and parents as they deal with some of the most complex and sensitive matters involving young people.” (The veto was overridden.)

Hutchinson is, in short, the sort of Republican opponent Democrats used to face — and to a large extent, still pine for. He’s a Republican with whom they can fight as a political opponent, not an enemy of democracy; a truth-teller not cowed by MAGA cultists; and a man susceptible to reason and open to compromise. That makes him, like Cheney, an anathema in some GOP circles.

Coverage of his candidacy will no doubt devolve into snide predictions of his unelectability. Sure, his “lane” might be a narrow bike lane in a party trafficking in crazy. However, much as dissents on the current Supreme Court stand as a rebuke to the right-wing majority, the Hutchinson-Cheney message serves to prick the conscience of Republicans who still have one — offering a reminder that they are not doomed to follow a narcissistic demagogue over the cliff.

And just as today’s Supreme Court dissents become the foundation for tomorrow’s majority opinions, Hutchinson provides a stepping-stone to the revival of a saner, pro-democratic and responsible GOP. For that he deserves praise, not ridicule.


The top 10 Republican presidential candidates for 2024, ranked

January 14, 2023 at 6:00 a.m. EST
Aaron Blake is senior political reporter, writing for The Fix. A Minnesota native, he has also written about politics for the Minneapolis Star Tribune and The Hill newspaper. Twitter

The 2024 Republican presidential race is technically two months old. We say “technically” because there’s really only one candidate and very little sign that he’s running a bona fide campaign at this point. Instead, Donald Trump is making “major announcements” about NFTs and posting on social media. He just announced his first actual public campaign event … at some point later this month in South Carolina.

So where are the rest? If history is any guide, the hopefuls should start making their plans known starting in the next few weeks or months, tops. And when one gets in, the dam should break.

But history might not be such a great guide to the 2024 race. That’s because it brings some wholly unusual dynamics. On the one hand, Trump looks as vulnerable as ever to a challenge. But he’s still Trump. And basically nobody except Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis demonstrates any strength against him.

Trump and DeSantis are in a tier of their own at the top, but it’s not clear if a second tier has properly formed just below them. Plenty of Republicans have to be weighing not just whether they want to run against Trump but whether they want to wait and see what DeSantis does, lest they launch on a campaign but get immediately eclipsed by those two.

And for ambitious Republicans in those lower tiers, it’s got to be at least a little tempting to see how serious Trump is, before they come at the king. Some are making maneuvers and leaving open the possibility of a challenge, and some are even message-testing attacks on DeSantis. But you’re not in until you’re in.

So where do things stand in the prospective 2024 GOP field? Below are our bimonthly rankings of the 10 candidates we think are mostly likely to be the Republican nominee. (November’s is here.)

As usual, this takes into account how likely the individuals are to run, along with how likely they are to win if they do.

Honorable mention: Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.), Sen. Josh Hawley (Mo.), Sen. Tom Cotton (Ark.), Sen. Rick Scott (Fla.), former congresswoman Liz Cheney (Wyo.), former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson, former Maryland governor Larry Hogan, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie, Donald Trump Jr., former White House national security adviser John Bolton, former Arizona governor Doug Ducey.

South Dakota Gov. Kristi L. Noem at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Orlando on Feb. 25, 2022. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)

10. Gov. Kristi L. Noem: This was a tough one to pick. Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) falls off the list after indicating he’ll seek reelection rather than the presidency in 2024, but there’s not an obvious replacement. One thing did catch our eye recently, though: the South Dakota governor’s staff picking a fight with DeSantis. While responding to a National Review reporter’s inquiry on transgender issues, her spokesman offered what that publication described as a “an unprompted diatribe about the contrast between Noem’s and DeSantis’s records on the issue of abortion.” That diatribe questioned called into question how much DeSantis actually opposes abortion rights because he’s “hiding behind a 15-week ban.” “Does he believe that 14-week-old babies don’t have a right to live?” the spokesman asked. That should probably be understood as a pretty significant statement of intent from Noem. (Previous ranking: n/a)

9. Gov. Chris Sununu: But Noem isn’t the only one. One of the emerging potential arguments against DeSantis is that he’s too eager to use the heavy hand of government to wage the culture wars. And Sununu offered such an argument this week. “I think he’s absolutely right that the wokeness is really invading this culture in a very negative way,” Sununu said. “Now, where we might disagree is should the government come in and fix woke? Well, the government is never useful at coming in and fixing a cultural issue.” (Previous ranking: 9)

8. Nikki Haley: Haley once said she wouldn’t run against Trump if he ran again. That’s apparently out the window, with his announcing his run, but CNN reports that she doesn’t feel great urgency to make a decision at this point. (Previous ranking: 7)

7. Mike Pompeo: Few have made their designs on running as obvious as the former Trump secretary of state. But just how much of an appetite the GOP base has for him is another matter. Keep an eye on what happens when he releases his new book Jan. 24 and what kind of reception he gets on his book tour. (Previous ranking: 8)

Former secretary of state Mike Pompeo sits for an interview with Fox News after speaking at the Conservative Political Action Conference last year. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)

6. Sen. Ted Cruz: Cruz was effectively the runner-up in the last open GOP presidential primary, in 2016. Since then, he has sought to align himself with Trump and focus on the large conservative market for Twitter trolling. What would he even run on in 2024, though? We’re honestly not sure. And he will be seeking reelection in 2024. He had a tough 2018 race, but Democrats might struggle to make that happen again. (Previous ranking: 6)

5. Gov. Glenn Youngkin: The lessons of Chris Christie loom large here. Youngkin is just more than a year into his term as Virginia governor, yes, but politics is often about striking while the iron is hot. Christie didn’t when he could have in 2012 and when lots of people were pleading with him to do so; he wound up an also-ran in 2016, when he was far less popular. A key part of Youngkin’s agenda did just suffer a significant potential setback, in light of Democrats winning a special state Senate election that could help them kill his attempt at a 15-week abortion ban. (Previous ranking: 4)

4. Mike Pence: It’s exceedingly rare for a former vice president to run against the former president they served with. But it’s looking increasingly likely in 2024, with Pence doing all the things you’d expect a would-be candidate to do, like making trips to South Carolina and The Villages in Florida. And his stock is arguably rising, as the party flirts with the at least partial break with Trumpism that Pence so badly needs. (Previous ranking: 3)

3. Sen. Tim Scott: Again, whether you want to call it a second or third tier, this bracket of Republicans is very amorphous at this point. But we can certainly see an argument for the senator from South Carolina having a shot to catch on in a way others like Pompeo, Cruz and Pence might not, given his personal style and compelling biography. It’s certainly notable that Trump is effectively beginning his campaign in South Carolina, where both a senator and former governor could be among his would-be usurpers. (Previous ranking: 5)

Sen. Tim Scott (S.C.) speaks during a Republican Jewish Coalition meeting in Las Vegas in November. (David Becker for the Washington Post)

2. Donald Trump: It hasn’t gotten any better for Trump since the 2022 campaign left him at perhaps his weakest political point in years. He continues to trail DeSantis in most head-to-head polls. No, the race won’t really be one-on-one — at least not initially — but those surveys still mean something: They suggest Trump could at some point run into a ceiling of support. And just because, back in 2016, that ceiling wasn’t as low as we thought doesn’t mean it doesn’t pose problems in 2024. We continue to rank him behind DeSantis and feel increasingly confident of that. (Previous ranking: 2)

1. Gov. Ron DeSantis: You know you’re the — or at least a — front-runner when your would-be opponents start coming for you even before the campaign begins. But how effectively can those Republicans actually prosecute the case against him? Noem can argue he hasn’t been forceful enough on abortion, but he’s made great pains to appeal to hard-right social conservatives on things like the coronavirus, vaccines and gay and transgender issues. (As The Post’s Philip Bump notes, these issues conveniently put him to Trump’s right.) So he’s got credibility built in. Sununu and others like former Arizona governor Doug Ducey can argue for a more limited governmental role in the culture wars, but there’s a reason few are making that case; the fervor for those culture wars is obviously very strong. Despite Trump’s political decline, his ethos of fighting with any tool available — even if it’s the government — appears to live on.

Of course, now we need to wait and make sure DeSantis is actually going to run. His book drops in late February. (Previous ranking: 1)

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