17 March 2016

ELECTION 2016 — Democratic Delegate Count, 2016 Democratic Popular Vote,Republican Delegate Count, 2016 Republican Popular Vote&Trump Deals Fatal Blow To Rubio In Fla., But Kasich Wins Ohio; Clinton Wins 4 15,16&17MAR16

WE were all hoping Bernie would win Ohio and keep the race tight in Illinois and Missouri. hillary did better than expected, but even after the vote on 15 MAR 16 the fat lady still ain't singing. We will still fight on to bring the political revolution to reality for our nation. Here is the analysis of Tuesday's voting for both the Democrats and republicans from +RealClearPolitics and +NPR .....

(2,382 Needed to Win)-47631606851--
Delegates Won-40511124816
IowaFebruary 144 (8)2321CaucusSemi-open
New HampshireFebruary 924 (8)915PrimarySemi-closed
NevadaFebruary 2035 (8)1915CaucusClosed
South CarolinaFebruary 2753 (6)3914PrimaryOpen
AlabamaMarch 153 (7)449PrimaryOpen
American SamoaMarch 16 (4)CaucusClosed
ArkansasMarch 132 (5)2210PrimaryOpen
ColoradoMarch 166 (13)2838CaucusClosed
Democrats AbroadMarch 1-813 (4)PrimaryClosed
GeorgiaMarch 1102 (14)7228PrimaryOpen
MassachusettsMarch 191 (25)4645PrimarySemi-closed
MinnesotaMarch 177 (16)2946CaucusOpen
OklahomaMarch 138 (4)1721PrimarySemi-closed
TennesseeMarch 167 (9)4222PrimaryOpen
TexasMarch 1222 (30)14574PrimaryOpen
VermontMarch 116 (10)016PrimaryOpen
VirginiaMarch 195 (15)6133PrimaryOpen
LouisianaMarch 551 (8)3512PrimaryClosed
NebraskaMarch 525 (5)1014CaucusClosed
KansasMarch 533 (4)1023CaucusClosed
MaineMarch 625 (5)715CaucusClosed
MississippiMarch 836 (5)304PrimaryOpen
MichiganMarch 8130 (17)6067PrimaryOpen
Northern MarianasMarch 126 (5)N/AN/A
FloridaMarch 15214 (32)13365PrimaryClosed
IllinoisMarch 15156 (26)7370PrimaryOpen
MissouriMarch 1571 (13)3232PrimaryOpen
North CarolinaMarch 15107 (14)5945PrimarySemi-closed
OhioMarch 15143 (16)7962PrimarySemi-open
ArizonaMarch 2275 (10)PrimaryClosed
IdahoMarch 2223 (4)CaucusOpen
UtahMarch 2233 (4)CaucusSemi-open
AlaskaMarch 2616 (4)CaucusClosed
HawaiiMarch 2625 (9)CaucusSemi-closed
WashingtonMarch 26101 (17)CaucusOpen
WisconsinApril 586 (10)PrimaryOpen
WyomingApril 914 (4)CaucusClosed
New YorkApril 19247 (44)PrimaryClosed
MarylandApril 2695 (23)PrimaryClosed
ConnecticutApril 2655 (15)PrimaryClosed
DelawareApril 2621 (10)PrimaryClosed
PennsylvaniaApril 26189 (21)PrimaryClosed
Rhode IslandApril 2624 (9)PrimarySemi-closed
IndianaMay 383 (9)PrimaryOpen
GuamMay 77 (5)CaucusClosed
West VirginiaMay 1029 (8)PrimarySemi-closed
KentuckyMay 1755 (5)PrimaryClosed
OregonMay 1761 (13)PrimaryClosed
Virgin IslandsJune 47 (5)CaucusClosed
Puerto RicoJune 560 (7)PrimaryOpen
CaliforniaJune 7475 (71)PrimarySemi-closed
MontanaJune 721 (6)PrimaryOpen
New JerseyJune 7126 (16)PrimaryClosed
North DakotaJune 718 (5)PrimaryOpen
New MexicoJune 734 (9)PrimaryClosed
South DakotaJune 720 (5)PrimarySemi-open
District of ColumbiaJune 1420 (25)PrimaryClosed


RCP Total-8,655,9215,903,905Clinton +2,752,016
IowaFebruary 1
New HampshireFebruary 995,252151,584Sanders +56,332
NevadaFebruary 20
South CarolinaFebruary 27271,51495,977Clinton +175,537
AlabamaMarch 1309,92876,399Clinton +233,529
American SamoaMarch 1
ArkansasMarch 1144,58064,868Clinton +79,712
ColoradoMarch 149,31472,115Sanders +22,801
Democrats AbroadMarch 1-8
GeorgiaMarch 1543,008214,332Clinton +328,676
MassachusettsMarch 1603,784586,716Clinton +17,068
MinnesotaMarch 173,510118,135Sanders +44,625
OklahomaMarch 1139,338174,054Sanders +34,716
TennesseeMarch 1245,304120,333Clinton +124,971
TexasMarch 1935,080475,561Clinton +459,519
VermontMarch 118,335115,863Sanders +97,528
VirginiaMarch 1503,358275,507Clinton +227,851
LouisianaMarch 5221,61572,240Clinton +149,375
NebraskaMarch 514,34019,120Sanders +4,780
KansasMarch 512,59326,450Sanders +13,857
MaineMarch 6
MississippiMarch 8182,44736,348Clinton +146,099
MichiganMarch 8576,795595,222Sanders +18,427
Northern MarianasMarch 12
FloridaMarch 151,097,400566,603Clinton +530,797
IllinoisMarch 151,012,175763,542Clinton +248,633
MissouriMarch 15310,602309,071Clinton +1,531
North CarolinaMarch 15616,383460,316Clinton +156,067
OhioMarch 15679,266513,549Clinton +165,717
ArizonaMarch 22
IdahoMarch 22
UtahMarch 22
AlaskaMarch 26
HawaiiMarch 26
WashingtonMarch 26
North DakotaApril 1
WisconsinApril 5
WyomingApril 9
New YorkApril 19
MarylandApril 26
ConnecticutApril 26
DelawareApril 26
PennsylvaniaApril 26
Rhode IslandApril 26
IndianaMay 3
GuamMay 7
West VirginiaMay 10
KentuckyMay 17
OregonMay 17
Virgin IslandsJune 4
Puerto RicoJune 5
CaliforniaJune 7
MontanaJune 7
New JerseyJune 7
New MexicoJune 7
South DakotaJune 7
District of ColumbiaJune 14

(1,237 Needed to Win)-2,472673411169143---
IowaFebruary 1307871CaucusProportionalClosed
New HampshireFebruary 92311324PrimaryProportional*Open**
South CarolinaFebruary 205050000PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen
NevadaFebruary 233014671CaucusProportionalClosed
AlabamaMarch 150361310PrimaryProportional*#∇Open
AlaskaMarch 128111250CaucusProportional*Closed
ArkansasMarch 140161490PrimaryProportional*#Open
GeorgiaMarch 1764018140PrimaryProportional*#∇Open**
MassachusettsMarch 14222488PrimaryProportional*Open**
MinnesotaMarch 138813170CaucusProportional*#∇Open
OklahomaMarch 1431315120PrimaryProportional*#∇Closed
TennesseeMarch 158331690PrimaryProportional*#∇Open
TexasMarch 11554810430PrimaryProportional*#∇Open
VermontMarch 1168008PrimaryProportional*#Open
VirginiaMarch 149178165PrimaryProportionalOpen
Colorado1March 137CaucusUnboundClosed
KansasMarch 54092461CaucusProportional*∇Closed
KentuckyMarch 546171577CaucusProportional*Closed
LouisianaMarch 546181850PrimaryProportional*∇Closed
MaineMarch 52391202CaucusProportional*#Closed
Puerto RicoMarch 62300230PrimaryProportional*#Open
HawaiiMarch 81911710CaucusProportional*∇Closed
IdahoMarch 832122000PrimaryProportional*#Closed
MichiganMarch 8592517017PrimaryProportional*#Open
MississippiMarch 840241300PrimaryProportional*∇Open
Virgin IslandsMarch 109CaucusWinner Take AllClosed
Wyoming1March 12291910CaucusUnboundClosed
GuamMarch 1290100ConventionUnboundClosed
District of ColumbiaMarch 121900109ConventionProportional*Closed
FloridaMarch 159999000PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed
IllinoisMarch 156953905PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen
MissouriMarch 155225500PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen
North CarolinaMarch 1572292769PrimaryProportionalOpen**
Northern MarianasMarch 1599000CaucusWinner Take AllClosed
OhioMarch 156600066PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen**
American SamoaMarch 229ConventionUnboundOpen
ArizonaMarch 2258PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed
UtahMarch 2240CaucusProportional*#Closed
North DakotaApril 128CaucusUnboundClosed
WisconsinApril 542PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen
New YorkApril 1995PrimaryProportional*#∇Closed
ConnecticutApril 2628PrimaryProportional*#∇Closed
DelawareApril 2616PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed
MarylandApril 2638PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed
PennsylvaniaApril 2671PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed
Rhode IslandApril 2619PrimaryProportional*∇Open**
IndianaMay 357PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen
NebraskaMay 1036PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed
West VirginiaMay 1034PrimaryDirect ElectionOpen**
OregonMay 1728PrimaryProportionalClosed
WashingtonMay 2444PrimaryProportional*∇Closed
CaliforniaJune 7172PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed
MontanaJune 727PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen
New JerseyJune 751PrimaryWinner Take AllOpen**
New MexicoJune 724PrimaryProportional*Closed
South DakotaJune 729PrimaryWinner Take AllClosed


Popular Vote Total-7,536,8765,477,7313,364,5652,722,658Trump +2,059,145
IowaFebruary 145,42751,66643,1653,474Cruz +6,239
New HampshireFebruary 9100,40633,18930,03244,909Trump +55,497
South CarolinaFebruary 20239,851164,790165,88156,206Trump +73,970
NevadaFebruary 2334,53116,07917,9402,709Trump +16,591
AlabamaMarch 1371,735180,608159,80237,970Trump +191,127
AlaskaMarch 17,3467,9733,318892Cruz +627
ArkansasMarch 1133,144123,873101,23515,098Trump +9,271
GeorgiaMarch 1501,707305,109315,97972,303Trump +185,728
MassachusettsMarch 1311,31360,473112,822113,783Trump +197,530
MinnesotaMarch 124,01832,68441,1266,488Rubio +8,442
OklahomaMarch 1130,141157,941119,56216,515Cruz +27,800
TennesseeMarch 1332,702211,159180,98945,243Trump +121,543
TexasMarch 1757,6181,239,370502,223120,257Cruz +481,752
VermontMarch 119,9685,92911,77818,543Trump +1,425
VirginiaMarch 1355,960173,193327,04296,519Trump +28,918
Colorado1March 1
KansasMarch 517,06235,20712,1897,795Cruz +18,145
KentuckyMarch 582,49372,50337,57933,134Trump +9,990
LouisianaMarch 5124,818113,94933,80419,355Trump +10,869
MaineMarch 56,0708,5501,4922,270Cruz +2,480
Puerto RicoMarch 6
HawaiiMarch 85,6774,3791,7591,413Trump +1,298
IdahoMarch 862,478100,94235,34716,517Cruz +38,464
MichiganMarch 8483,751330,015123,673321,655Trump +153,736
MississippiMarch 8191,755147,06520,76835,817Trump +44,690
Virgin IslandsMarch 10
Wyoming1March 12
GuamMarch 12
District of ColumbiaMarch 123913511,0591,009Rubio +50
FloridaMarch 151,077,221403,640636,653159,412Trump +440,568
IllinoisMarch 15551,464430,395123,066279,778Trump +121,069
MissouriMarch 15382,093380,36757,00692,533Trump +1,726
North CarolinaMarch 15458,151418,74087,858144,299Trump +39,411
Northern MarianasMarch 15
OhioMarch 15727,585267,59259,418956,762Kasich +229,177
American SamoaMarch 22
ArizonaMarch 22
UtahMarch 22
North DakotaApril 1
WisconsinApril 5
New YorkApril 19
ConnecticutApril 26
DelawareApril 26
MarylandApril 26
PennsylvaniaApril 26
Rhode IslandApril 26
IndianaMay 3
NebraskaMay 10
West VirginiaMay 10
OregonMay 17
WashingtonMay 24
CaliforniaJune 7
MontanaJune 7
New JerseyJune 7
New MexicoJune 7
South DakotaJune 7

Democratic Results









OHIO100.0% IN


Republican Results









OHIO100.0% IN

Polls close at 7 and 8 p.m. EDT in Florida, 7:30 p.m. EDT in North Carolina and Ohio, and 8 p.m. EDT in Illinois and Missouri.
Next update:  0:05
The GOP presidential field dropped by one candidate on Tuesday night, but Republicans are still no closer to uniting behind a nominee.
Democrats, however, did get more clarity as Hillary Clinton racked up more wins over Bernie Sanders, extending her delegate lead and complicating the Vermont senator's nomination calculation.

"After tonight it is clear that while we are on the right side, we will not be on the winning side," Rubio told supporters in Miami.
In the Republican race, Donald Trump dealt a fatal blow to the campaign of Marco Rubio, the senator from Florida, who suspended his campaign shortly after losing his home state to Trump.
The real estate mogul got a setback of his own in Ohio, where sitting Gov. John Kasich beat Trump, taking all of the state's 66 delegates in the big winner-take-all contest.
Overall, though, it still ended up being a very good night for Trump, as he picked up wins in North Carolina and Illinois that could still give him plenty of delegates to make up for the Ohio loss.
In Missouri, he was leading Texas Sen. Ted Cruz by a very slim margin, but with absentee and provisional ballots still outstanding, The Associated Press is not calling the race. Those returns won't change for several weeks, though — outstanding ballots won't be factored into totals until Missouri's Secretary of State certifies the primary results. That isn't expected to happen until April.
On the Democratic side, Clinton beat Sanders in Illinois, Ohio, North Carolina and Florida, helping her pad her delegate lead over the senator. Clinton also has a very narrow lead over Sanders in Missouri, which, like the GOP race, won't be called by AP tonight.
(Both Missouri races are within the state's recall margin, but neither Cruz nor Sanders would be able to request one until after the results are certified next month.)
"Now, today, all of you in the states where contests were held voted to break down the barriers that hold us all back so every one of us can share in the promise of America. You voted, you voted, you voted for our tomorrow to be better than our yesterday," Clinton told her supporters.
Sanders had hoped a surprise win last week in Michigan could help him in other Rust Belt states like Ohio and Illinois. But a loss in Ohio dimmed some of that hope. And with Clinton's other wins Tuesday, the math for Sanders going forward grows even more difficult.
He delivered what was largely his standard stump speech for nearly an hour in Arizona on Tuesday night, but made little reference to the night's results. Early Wednesday morning, his campaign put out a statement congratulating Clinton and arguing that, "With more than half the delegates yet to be chosen and a calendar that favors us in the weeks and months to come, we remain confident that our campaign is on a path to win the nomination."
For Republicans trying to derail trump, it was almost one step forward and one step backward. Yes, Trump was denied delegates in Ohio, but he still picked up big wins in other states and could make up that 66-delegate deficit elsewhere.
And while Rubio withdrew from the race, Kasich's victory gave the governor reason to stay in the race, even though it was his first win of the primary season. That means it won't shrink to a two-man race just yet.
"I will not take the low road to the highest office," Kasich declared to cheering supporters in Ohio, promising his campaign would go on to Pennsylvania and other contests in the West.
Cruz was hoping to edge out Trump in Missouri to get a win on the board, and argued that his campaign was the only one with a path to victory, dismissing any new life Kasich's campaign may have gotten.
"Starting tomorrow morning, every Republican has a clear choice. Only two campaigns have a plausible path to the nomination: our's and Donald Trump's. Nobody else has any mathematical possibility whatsoever," Cruz said.
Here's what happened in each state:


With all precincts reporting, Trump has a 1,726-vote margin over Cruz. The AP, however, will not call the race yet since a recount could still be possible. The Texas senator's campaign manager, Jeff Roe, is a longtime operative in the state, and his team was hoping to stop Trump in the Show Me State and get a win Tuesday night. Delegates are partially awarded based on wins in each congressional district, so both candidates could still walk away with a significant bump from the state.
On the Democratic side, Clinton is ahead of Sanders by 1,531 votes with all precincts reporting, but the AP will also not declare a winner.


Clinton escaped with a narrow win over Sanders in the state. The senator had hoped his strength with white, blue-collar voters would give him a late boost in the state, much like it did just a week ago in Michigan.
Trump won Illinois on the GOP side, besting Cruz by about 8 percentage points. It's unclear yet how many delegates he will net, though — the state awards them based on a complicated formula by congressional district in addition to 15 delegates that go to the statewide winner.


Trump's win in Florida may have been the biggest earthquake in the race so far. He didn't just edge out Rubio, who had essentially staked his entire campaign on the state, but he crushed the sitting senator. In fact, the only county Rubio carried was his home of Miami-Dade.
Florida was supposed to be where Rubio would resurrect his campaign after having underperformed across the country so far. But instead, it wrote his political obituary.
Clinton's win in Florida is also significant. She will get at least 124 pledged delegates out of her win, per the AP, and she won big with Hispanics in the state as well, while Trump lost among Hispanic voters on the GOP side despite winning the state.


Kasich's victory complicates the GOP leader's delegate math. That's good news for Republicans who are #NeverTrump, and it does give the Ohio governor his first outright victory. His campaign hasn't been shy about its strategy, even outlining in a memo that they don't believe any candidate will capture a majority of delegates before the GOP convention in Cleveland. Now, they need to woo Rubio voters to their side.
Clinton's win in Ohio is also important. After losing in Michigan thanks to white, blue-collar voters swayed by Sanders, she rebounded in a state that's politically similar.

North Carolina

Clinton completed her sweep of the South with a big win in the Tar Heel State. But with her victory in Ohio, too, she can blunt the Sanders campaign criticism that she's just a regional candidate.
On the GOP side, Trump narrowly edged out Cruz in the state. Since it does still award its 72 delegates proportionally, though (actually the second-biggest prize of the night), the margin will matter for the Texas senator.

Northern Mariana Islands

Not to be overlooked, Trump began the big day of voting with a win in the U.S. commonwealth's GOP caucuses. He took 73 percent of the vote (343 votes out of just 471 cast), which will give Trump all nine available delegates. Cruz was second with 113 votes, while Kasich got 10 votes and Rubio got just five votes.